6,998 Matching Annotations
  1. Mar 2026
    1. On 2020-10-05 08:20:30, user NMN wrote:

      The way it is presented in the abstract seems misleading to me, it presents itself as a report of a mass screening of nearly 2000 individuals, in which saliva outperformed NP swabs, but this is not really an accurate picture of what they found.

      They have 2 cohorts. <br /> 1) a contact tracing (CT) cohort of 161 individuals, of which 47 were positive by NP and/or Saliva. I would not consider contact tracing of less than 200 individuals to be “mass screening”<br /> 2) An airport mass screening cohort of 1763 individuals, of which 5 were positive by NP and/or saliva.

      The saliva outperformed the NP swabs in the CT cohort only, with 44/47 positives for saliva compared to 41/47 positives for NP swabs.<br /> NP swabs outperformed the saliva in the mass screening cohort, with 5/5 positives by NP swab, and 4/5 positives by saliva. These numbers are too low to make conclusions for mass screening though.

      Furthermore, it seems that there are math errors in the sensitivities that they report.<br /> They report sensitivities of NP and saliva as 86% and 92% respectively, yet there is no way to arrive at these %s from the numbers in their tables.

      Sensitivities for NP vs saliva in:<br /> CT cohort only: 87.2 vs 93.6% (41 vs 44 /47)<br /> Mass Screen cohort only: 100 vs 80% (5 vs 4 /5)<br /> Combined cohorts: 88.5 vs 92.3% (46 vs 48 /52)

    1. On 2020-09-13 19:32:19, user Qunfeng Dong wrote:

      An updated version of this manuscript is now accepted for publication by Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association Open Access on Sep, 13, 2020.

    1. On 2020-08-04 10:20:51, user Conrado Fernández Rodriguez wrote:

      These results are in keeping with a very recent paper in Journal of hepatology showing a protective effect of immunosuppresants in liver transplanted patients against SARS-CoV-2 with The exception of tacrolimus. <br /> https://www.journal-of-hepa...

    1. On 2022-12-27 15:27:14, user nobiggie wrote:

      The most interesting piece of information here seems to be that the more shots you get the more likely you are to get sick but somehow it goes unmentioned

    1. On 2021-09-08 20:11:56, user David H wrote:

      This is an interesting and potentially important study that seems to be playing into a political narrative - 'natural infection' vs vaccination. But before going there we need to acknowledge that it has not been fully analysed and the potential sources of bias have not been fully explored. In observational studies time is a critical factor and it is not clear how it has been handled in the analysis. There are no Kalpan Meier curves. Potential baseline confounding is partly addressed, but not time varying confounding. I cant find information on person time at risk in the three cohorts and that is critical, because it determines the periods during which individuals are at risk of reinfection or breakthrough infection. Is there an immortal time bias in the naturally infected cohort? Additionally, I cant see information on testing rates in the 3 cohorts - most infections will have been mild so this is critical. If testing rates (hypothetically) are lower after natural infection then that could introduce a major ascertainment bias. The study doesn't seem to have measures (or proxies) of health protecting behaviors, which may also be different between the groups. I am not saying that the results are wrong, rather that I think the authors need to complete more detailed analyses to address confounding, temporal selection and ascertainment biases.

    2. On 2021-09-08 09:14:20, user Kenneth Coville wrote:

      Well except this study itself states that recovered individuals who forego vaccination were twice as likely to be reinfected as those who went on and had at least one vaccination (full vaccination gave even higher protection)

    1. On 2020-04-06 17:26:31, user Neha Dagaonkar wrote:

      The universal vaccination policy adopted in India is compulsory vaccination during the post-natal period. Any vaccines including BCG can provide immunity for 15-20 years thus reducing infant and adolescent mortality rate. <br /> The underlying assumption here is that the countries that stopped the universal vaccination policy or never had one, are at higher risk. Since the adult population is more at risk with SARS-CoV 2 infection with higher mortality as compared to younger population, so statistical correlation in this hypothesis lacks necessary biological correlation and age distribution for susceptible population by age group.

    2. On 2020-04-07 16:26:34, user Richard wrote:

      they stopped the BCG vaccination in australia in 1982, interesting that the death rates in australia amongst the older people are lower than seen in other countries,

    1. On 2020-04-17 18:50:31, user thecity2 wrote:

      The sample could be biased by a self-selection effect. People on FB who wanted to be tested because they think they had the virus at some point.

    2. On 2020-04-20 08:46:50, user mendel wrote:

      The study itself reports only the IgG specificity of the test kit, omitting the false error rate for IgM. It also sets the sensitivity at the lower of both values. This is mathematically consistent with accepting a sample as positive if it passes both the IgG and the IgM test. However, the package insert states that a test is positive if either one of these is detected, it doesn't require both.<br /> ,<br /> What did the study do? Page 6 states: "The total number of positive cases by either IgG or IgM in our unadjusted sample was 50". It comes down to a point of grammar: does "positive by either" mean the sample had to register positive by both?

      This is a rather crucial point: if they counted a test as positive if just one of IgG and IgM was positive, the mathematical analysis is invalid and needs to be redone.

    3. On 2020-04-23 03:15:30, user Zachary Blair wrote:

      Mortality projections that are based on a sample limited to one of the wealthiest counties in the country will likely be dangerously flawed. This methodology ignores wealth-based health disparities and is totally irresponsible from a public health perspective. A comparative study needs to be done if you seek to make conclusions that are valuable on a national scale. These results will ALWAYS be geographically specific unless you broaden your sample.

    4. On 2020-04-18 05:48:06, user Grace wrote:

      Dr. Bhattacharya, thank you for your groundbreaking CoVID19 prevalence study. Addressing the volunteer bias that is possible, have you considered comparing the survey's results on reported symptoms to Google's symptom tracker for the county? This would allow you to adjust for a potential enrichment of volunteers with previous disease.

    5. On 2020-04-22 19:35:41, user Andriy Samokhvalov wrote:

      Hi, my main concern is the selection bias. Responding to facebook ads limits the population to a very specific subgroup to begin with. And then there might be a lot of people who suspect that they have COVID-19 and responding to the ad because of that.

    6. On 2020-04-21 06:51:43, user Vladimir Lipets wrote:

      Well, from statistical/math perspective there are significant errors in results interpretation.Based on calibration experiment (2 FP of 271), authors assumed that FP range is very low. However, it is incorrect, obviously. And I’m not the first one who point out about this mistake.

      Since calculating posterior probabilities combining Binomial distribution seems to be little bit tricky, I spend 15 minutes and did Monte-Carlo experiment as follows: A) Randomly selected FP probability in range 0-1% B) Simulated 270 experiments with FP probability chosen C) If exactly 2 FP results were obtained, then the main test of 3300 iteration was simulated. Steps A,B,C where repeated 1M times, to get the results. (well be glad, if somebody corrects me, if there are mistakes in this approach)

      Finally, I got FP distribution which estimates probability of having more than 50 FP in 3300 (random?) candidates is about 20%. Too high... Having more than 40 is 33%

      It is very confusing that these results are wrong, considering the importance of these results to the… well, whole world!

      On the other hand, significant infection rate, still remains maximum likelihood.

      Moreover, for me, hypotheses of higher infection rate, still seems very reasonable, let’s wait for more studies to come. As far as I understood, author want to repeat this experiment in NY

      P.S. I think,I will wait for these results even more then for last episode of GoT. I hope it will not be disappointing, like this one ))

    7. On 2020-04-20 02:30:29, user Lei Liu wrote:

      I am a biostatistician. There is a problem with the false positive rate. As it was shown, the false positive rate is 2/401. If we assume all 3330 subjects were negative, then the p-value to get 50 false positives is 0.11 by Chi-square or Fisher exact test, which is not statistically significant. That is, even though the accuracy of the test is very high (99.5%), the low prevalence in the population makes the conclusion more likely due to false positive.

    1. On 2020-04-01 15:48:07, user mendel wrote:

      According to wikipedia, 12 passengers have died by now, 1 in her 60s, 6 in their 70s, 3 above 80, and 2 with unreported age. Assuming the unreported ages were in the 60s and 70s age group, we'd have a distribution of 2-7-3 deaths for the top age groups; Table 2 in this paper expects 2.7-7.6-4.3 for these groups based on naive case fatality rates from the Chinese data. That's fairly close, invalidating the paper's claim that the Chinese data must be off by a large margin.

      Given the small sample sizes of the cruise ship, the observed deaths are not at odds with the assumption that the Chinese nCFRs hold: if you establish CFRs for these 3 age groups and error bars for those, then the observed data supports the Chinese findings within the 50% confidence error bars, and the whole ship mortality as well.

    1. On 2020-07-27 19:02:55, user GreenEngineer wrote:

      The authors acknowledge several weaknesses to the study, which are all valid.

      Another weakness, which was not acknowledged, was failing to assess the condition of the filters and filter racks.<br /> The condition of the filter racks is critical to effective filtration. If the clips which hold the filters in place, or the seals between filters, are missing or broken then substantial air will bypass the filters. Likewise if the racks themselves are damaged, if the filters are incorrectly installed, etc.

      I know nothing about the condition of these particular AHUs. They may be in great condition, but the average condition of AHUs in my experience suggests that this should not be assumed.

      The relevance is this: If the filters/racks are not in good condition, unfiltered air will bypass the racks. Increasing the MERV value in that case will not help and may actually make thing worse: as the pressure drop through the filter increases, more air will bypass around them.

      Knowing how effectively a MERV 14 filter removes viral RNA in a realistic, as-found AHU condition is definitely relevant. But interpreting these results would be much easier if we had a sense of the condition of the equipment.

    1. On 2021-05-16 11:40:32, user ingokeck wrote:

      This is a very interesting preprint, especially as they authors state the LOD which many others never give. 0.007 /ml TID50 for ORF1ab mean that you need to ingest 1ml/0.007=142 ml to have a 50% chance of infection (ignoring for one the immune protection in the mucus) at the ct vale of 33. Or, the other way round, a ct vale of 33-7 = 26 would correspond to 1ml of sample that would infect 50%. At the threshold the authors selected of ct 30, one would still need 17ml of sample to infect 50%. <br /> Also, ORF1ab is interesting because it should be much more near to the actual amount of infectious virion than for example the N-gene which gets copied many sizes of magnitude more often than the ORF1ab gene.

    1. On 2021-12-02 13:52:27, user Thomas Binder wrote:

      With all due respect, this modelling study is based on totally wrong assumptions thus is just GIGO: Garbage In, Garbage Out!

    2. On 2022-12-08 22:41:55, user Dr. Kate wrote:

      It's interesting to see what has become of this paper after peer review. A lot of the conclusions that made it on the front pages in German media are now significantly toned down. It should be a warning to all of us how quickly media jump on certain conclusions that are popular at the time, even if they do not hold up to scientific scrutiny. Also, neither media nor public opinion tend to look back and check which part of the initial report held up to peer review and which ones had to be significantly reworked.

    1. On 2021-08-14 00:52:29, user Meredith Olson wrote:

      Those with a doctorate who choose to spend time on facebook and are also willing to take the time to fill out the survey there are a particular subset of people with doctorates.

    1. On 2020-06-18 22:54:00, user RockyNBullwinkle wrote:

      would be nice to see just one large prospective randomized double blind study for hospitalized patients, one study for patients that don't meet criteria of hospitalization, and one for prevention. Zinc 50 mg daily and HCQ 200 mg twice daily.

    1. On 2020-10-04 20:57:37, user William James wrote:

      Do you think you should refer to the paper by Kojaku at al [Submitted on 5 May 2020 (v1), last revised 14 Sep 2020 (v3)] at https://arxiv.org/abs/2005...., which largely represented this analysis formally some months earlier? [I have no conflict of interest.]

    1. On 2021-03-14 00:26:00, user Nathan Weiss wrote:

      Great analysis, two comments: The prevalence of suspected re-infections appears to be grouped closer to initial infections (days 100 to 149) rather than increasing over time as should be the case if deteriorating seroprevalence were the culprit. Also, while the cluster in cases in January is interesting, the authors suggest this is due to new strains while the number of suspected re-infections appears to increase from roughly 27 cases in December to 97 in January, matching the background increase in community new cases.

      But I commend your work as one of the best accountings of the likelhood of secondary infections in a large (non-prison) population!

    1. On 2025-11-20 17:36:10, user Ceejay wrote:

      This study is very interesting.

      There are various exercise regimes popularly described in recent years for Long Covid sufferers, two often mentioned are 1. Graded Exercise Therapy and 2. Exercise Pacing. The former is characterised by a manageable but significant exercise level which is steadily increased, the latter is a strict regime of minimal exercise and only slowly increasing this as the person is able. A key difference between these methods is probably that Pacing is designed at such a low level of exertion that it avoids provoking PEM (Post-Exertional Malaise, starting a few days after the exercise), whereas Graded Exercise Therapy may provoke PEM and if properly monitored the exercise level should be reduced. Some opinion in favour of Pacing even states that GET is contra-indicated in LC. Part of the problem here is a lack of clarity in describing the two different exercise regimes.

      It would therefore help to know more about the exact exercise regimes you applied (lines 146 to 149):

      * List all exercises, and whether each was strength or cardiovascular exercise.

      * What were the criteria for starting exercise, and for incrementing or decrementing exercise (lines 149 to 153) during the 32 months.

      * Was PEM monitored for?

      * Would the schedules adopted fit into either of the two popular descriptions (GET vs Pacing) or could this even be dynamically changeable according to progress?

      * What was the typical level, duration and frequency of the maximum exercise undertaken by month 32 or at the asymptomatic point.

      * Do you have data on the periods to achievement of asymptomatic status (or end of trial)? Fig 3 provides no data at periods between 6 and 32 months.

      * Figure 3 suggests that by month 32, 45.5% of participants were still not asymptomatic, so can this statistic infer anything about the suitability or advisable emphasis of the exercise program?

      * Can the data from your study enable arbitration between GET and Pacing? e.g. could the prognostic point of 21 days inform the ongoing exercise program?

      Thank you.

    1. On 2020-06-14 18:28:21, user Dana Mulvany wrote:

      The featured snorkel mask looks like it could also be used to provide a view of the wearer’s mouth for speechreading purposes. That can be extremely important for the high numbers of professionals and patients with significant hearing loss, who can be enormously incapacitated by not being able to understand most people due to not being able to lipread them.

      Could attention be paid to how to minimize fogging?

    1. On 2020-06-24 02:12:28, user Nobuhiro Sho wrote:

      Non-pharmcological intervention such as wearing mask is the key strategy for novel cotagious respiratory disease. Because drug’s efficacy is not adequately proven yet. This article shows the importance of masks for preventing the transmission of covid-19.<br /> Every contagious disease is multiplicative.<br /> As everyone is wearing mask, it reduces the huge amount of infection.

    1. On 2020-10-27 04:44:07, user Crispus wrote:

      Did not control for vitamin D levels, zinc, viral load or obesity, nor was that data collected. Since these were not controlled, from what I gather, then it's possible that one group may have had more vitamin D, zinc or Greater BMI than the other groups. This means that if I tested for correlation between the mentioned factors and treatment, the correlation between the two would not be zero...An example of this would be if the group with higher obesity is more likely to be of the HCQ group. Hence a serious concern of potential omitted variable bias. Now just because bias is present doesn't mean the findings are useless. It depends on the direction of the bias. But many health practitioners recommend supplementing vitamin D and zinc, and it's known that obesity and viral load have an impact on mortality.

    2. On 2020-06-30 15:59:24, user Dr. Hans-Joachim Kremer wrote:

      Very good trial.<br /> It is interesting that the analysis by days since symptoms onset (<=7 vs. >7) appeared to be as discriminative as the main analysis or the subgroup analysis by respiratory support. Then, the onset of symptoms was strongly correlated with type of respiratory support. Hence, it would be interesting which of both (days since symptoms onset or respiratory support) was more discriminative, i.e. the independent predictor of efficacy of dexamethasone.

    1. On 2024-10-18 23:25:57, user CDSL JHSPH wrote:

      Your research provides valuable insights that could shape the future of antibiotic and TB treatment trials.This article adapted model-based dose-ranging techniques for duration-ranging in TB trials. The findings show that model-based methods outperform traditional qualitative approaches, especially in estimating the minimum effective duration and fitting duration-response curves, even with limited sample sizes. The study also aligns well with global TB treatment goals and emphasizes the need for more efficient, shorter regimens. However, it could benefit from more detailed guidance on real-world application and strategies for managing sample size variability and patient characteristics in trials.

    1. On 2020-05-20 18:56:53, user Sander Greenland wrote:

      Here are two papers that deal with the general causality theory of collider bias and related phenomena:<br /> Greenland S, Pearl J, Robins JM. Causal diagrams for epidemiologic research. Epidemiology 1999;10:37–48.<br /> Greenland S. Quantifying biases in causal models: classical confounding versus collider-stratification bias. Epidemiology 2003;14: 300-306. <br /> See also Ch. 12 of Rothman Greenland Lash, Modern Epidemiology 3rd ed. 2008.

    1. On 2022-02-02 07:40:56, user Gerald Zavorsky, PhD, FACSM wrote:

      I have no idea why studies like these are coming out all of a sudden. Politics should not be a part of science and I think these diversity studies and social injustice studies actually do a disservice to the minority groups in the U.S. There are several studies that show racial differences in lung function. I, for one, have published one of these studies (10.1186/s12890-021-01591-7) that demonstrate differences lung function after correcting for several factors. In order for these authors to truly test the hypothesis that reference equations should not be adjusted for race (i.e., no adjustment if you are African American, Hispanic, or Asians), then you would need to perform a Kappa Statistic and ROC analysis in both whites and the other ethnic groups. In addition, in each race/ethnic group, you would need a substantial proportion of individuals with CONFIRMED DISEASE. That is, confirmed disease via CT imaging or via strict criteria (i.e., GOLD criteria). Using a subjective assessment of breathlessness is not right, in my opinion. The authors have not used the objective criteria of FEV1/FVC ratio for definitive obstruction; they only used FEV1 and FVC separately, and according to ATS/ERS guidelines, it is strictly the FEV1/FVC ratio that confirms obstruction. Then, using the LLN criteria for FEV1/FVC, then one should assess the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, etc., comparing reference equations for different races in those with confirmed disease and those without the disease OR at least confirmed obstructive pattern (FEV1/FVC < LLN). That is, what is the sensitivity in detecting lung disease (or confirmed obstruction via the FEV1/FVC ratio) in blacks when using the GLI reference equation for blacks? What are the false negatives in blacks when using the black reference equation? THEN compare these results against the same group using the prediction equations for whites. This is really the only way. Subjective scores of breathlessness do not confirm the disease. All that their tables and figures show that if you use a white reference equation in blacks you can falsely over-diagnose lung disease in blacks. In this case, 870-890 blacks had falsely low FEV1 or FVC when using the white reference equation. The authors data actually go against their conclusions. First, 9% of whites were below the LLN for FEV1 when the white equation was used. Similarly, 9% of blacks were < LLN for FEV1 when the black equation was used. To me, this shows that the equations for blacks correctly identify low FEV1 values in blacks, and the reference equations in whites correctly identify low FEV1 in whites. The proportions are the same! As well, their Figure 1b, the mortality for Blacks that had an FEV1 that was normal when using black reference equation (orange line) was the SAME as when using the white reference equation for whites (blue line). This shows that the reference equations for whites used on whites are just as appropriate as the reference equation for blacks used on blacks. Indeed, if anything, Figure 1b demonstrates that using the white reference equation in blacks underscored mortality in blacks by 5% (i.e., 5% of the deaths are missed in blacks when using white reference equations). Thus, in conclusion, the authors have this all wrong and have misinterpreted the data. We should be correcting for race.

    1. On 2020-04-25 13:53:09, user Rosemary TATE wrote:

      Since this is an observational study, and you answered yes to "(I have) uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s), could you please explain why you have not uploaded the STROBE guidelines? So many people are doing the same and I'm wondering why. I'm trying to think of ways of improving the process of sorting the wheat from the chaff in this explosion of preprints. While this looks like wheat, it would be really helpful if you could<br /> 1. State the type of study in the title (some journals require this and it is very helpful)<br /> 2. Upload the checklist.<br /> Many thanks.

    1. On 2020-06-04 20:57:33, user Marm Kilpatrick wrote:

      It didn't appear that heterogeneity in transmission was a key part of the calculations. For SARS-COV-2 many estimates suggest that dispersion parameter assuming negative binomial distribution for spreading is ~0.2 which means lots of cases spread to 0, some spread to many. That'd extend the tail of # of cases that might occur after a super spreading event (e.g. a house party or several) before detection. Given concurrent large social events (e.g. holidays, welcome week), this seems like a high probability.

    1. On 2020-04-06 19:19:57, user Maxim Sheinin wrote:

      Given that the majority of people dying from Covid-19 are elderly (60+) and BCG vaccine is given only in childhood, it would likely make more sense to look at the BCG vaccination status at the time when these elderly people were supposed to receive the vaccine, instead of the BCG status today. This will likely complicate the story, since many European countries that don't use BCG on a routine basis today used to do that in the past, and, conversely, some of the LICs introduced BCG relatively recently (http://www.bcgatlas.org/) "http://www.bcgatlas.org/)")

    1. On 2020-07-11 18:20:51, user Joan Saldana wrote:

      Dear authors, since your average force of infection term lambda includes N in its denominator, I don't see why expressions (2) and (3) of R0 also include N. Suppose \rho=0 (exposed are not infectious) and x=1 for everybody. In this standard case, the infection term in (1) is beta·S·I/N and, then, R0=beta/gamma. From (2) and (3), however, it follows that in this case R0=(beta/N)/gamma, which is not correct. Am I missing something from the model? On the other hand, the values of R0 in the figures are reasonable, so perhaps this is typo. Thank you!

    1. On 2020-05-08 22:29:12, user Jessica wrote:

      This reports a high proportion of isolated BA families with putatively causal large effect alleles. This proportion is higher than expected for families with isolated BA but not necessarily higher than expected for families with syndromic BA. It would be helpful for the authors to provide further detail about the specific ascertainment criteria and phenotyping performed on each proband and their parents, as well as whether any families were multiplex, especially for those with biallelic candidate variants, and if that family history is consistent with the mode of inheritance reported for each family's candidate gene.

    1. On 2021-09-21 11:26:35, user 4qmmt wrote:

      Anti-spike, anti-RBD and neutralization levels dropped more than 84% over 6 months’ time in all groups irrespective of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. At 6 months post-vaccine, 70% of the infection-naive NH residents had neutralization titers at or below the lower limit of detection compared to 16% at 2 weeks after full vaccination. These data demonstrate a significant reduction in levels of antibody in all groups.

      The decrease reported here for previously infected seems opposite many findings in other papers and suggests that those infected and recovered who then receive the shot lost immunity that they had. That is quite troubling.

      Compare for example:<br /> https://doi.org/10.1038/s43...<br /> https://doi.org/10.1126/sci...<br /> https://doi.org/10.1016/S26...<br /> https://doi.org/10.3201/eid...

    1. On 2020-06-29 08:48:39, user Dr Mubarak Muhamed khan wrote:

      RE: can creating new vaccine everytime is solution for new mutating viruses?

      We published our view as e letter regarding old vaccine and it’s Possible use In present menace in science and C&E News<br /> Link:

      https://science.sciencemag....

      The e letter

      (2 June 2020)<br /> Thank you very much for excellent update in new vaccines. We appreciate every efforts towards betterment of human life and fighting with new menace. Still Certain questions need to be asked while trying new vaccines everytime for Every new virus or any microbe mutation?<br /> Although we are Not immunologists, still certain questions haunts our mind. We hope that these queries and questions will ignite the minds of researchers and immunologists. With open minds we must ask these questions to ourselves in today’s tough time instead of getting rattled by situation<br /> 1. Does every new virus create specific antibodies? And for how long it works?<br /> 2. Is there any limit of immune response for any healthy Homo Sapien?<br /> 3. Whether body immune response of Homo Sapien get fatigued with every new challenges by new viruses?<br /> 4. Whether after multiple challenges by new viruses , body try saving Homo Sapien by cross immunity?<br /> 5. Although with new challenges by new virus, body may try responding by creating initial IgM .... And then IgG for certain time period, but whether memory is created for long time for such mutating viruses?<br /> 6. Why not to boost immunity with booster doses of existing vaccines and check cross immunity for fighting with new mutating viruses ?<br /> 7. When new vaccines are in development, why not to give a chance of revaccinations with existing proved vaccines (BCG, MMR, and many more) to masses??<br /> 8. Is there any harm in starting booster doses to children’s and adults of existing vaccines?<br /> 9. Till the new vaccines are developed for SARS Cov 2, good ample amount of time one will get to test boosting immunity with current vaccines and checking cross immunity for fighting corona?<br /> 10. We must continue searching new vaccines for every new virus. But what’s harm repurposing existing proved vaccine for strong cross immunity to neutralise many new menace?

      Still Many more new mutated viruses will arrive and try to attack us in different ways in future. Why not to boost sustainable existing immunity with booster doses of existing well tested vaccines in vaccination programmes?

      Sincere Regards<br /> Dr Mubarak khan<br /> Dr Sapna Parab<br /> Director & Consultant<br /> Sushrut ENT Hospital & Dr Khan’s Research Centre, Talegaon Danhade, Pune, India

    1. On 2021-08-29 21:48:43, user philipn wrote:

      Thank you for this great trial!

      I shared some of my thoughts in this twitter thread here: https://twitter.com/__phili....

      RAAS components: preprints notes no impact of treatment on measured RAAS components. In studies I've read (non-COVID), ARBs raise Ang II (see e.g. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih...; "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10082498/);") idea is less AT1R binding => more Ang II. But the trial found no impact on even Ang II with treatment.

      Preprint doesn't mention how many participants had RAAS components measured, so maybe it wasn't enough for significance. But the preprint does give significant p-value for an association with baseline. In the above non-COVID study showing ARBs raise Ang II, n=12 wasn't enough for significance with 50mg losartan (but was for the other ARBs; 50mg losartan pictured as open diamond in Figure 4).

      If argument is treatment was dosed to block AT1R sufficiently but had no impact on RAAS components, why Ang II isn't higher in the treatment group is an interesting question?

      The preprint looks at PK data in n=7, "consistent with..maximal AT1R blockade." Earlier in preprint, "yielding an expected 70% inhibition of AT1R." 70% inhibition doesn't appear in citation (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih... mentions 77% at trough with 100mg bid).

      In this paper (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih... "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11392465/)") 50mg od losartan looks like ~35% in the peak window. In https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih..., 50mg again looks like ~35% at peak (open diamonds in Figure 3).

      I was unable to find a study that tests exactly 50mg bid losartan and looks these proxies for % AT1R blockade.

      I think the preprint authors may be getting the 70% figure from an earlier citation, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih..., Fig 3 and ~205 ng/mL EXP3174 (median C_6h) => ~70% according to figure. It seems this argument is based on PK in this n=6 study. The PK study uses SBP response to Ang II but looks pretty different from https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih....

      https://twitter.com/__phili... - side by side figures are illustrative

      Compare the ~50mg losartan (open diamonds in right figure, from https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih... "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10082498/)"). Looks like ~35% at peak vs ~70%. The graphs look pretty different.

      The authors of the ~35% study address this difference, stating:

      "The antagonism produced by 50 mg of losartan (ie, 35% to 45% blockade of AT1 receptors) was also weaker than expected on the basis of previous results of studies using 40 mg of losartan. To explain this difference, one must consider that in our study, the placebo had no effect on blood pressure response to exogenous Ang II, whereas it blunted the effect of Ang II by almost 20% in Christen et al’s6 study. Thus, if one corrects for the placebo effect, the percentage of inhibition obtained in the 2 studies is comparable."

      So once the PK study’s placebo response is adjusted, results are similar. So isn’t the value ~35%, not 70%? Would be consistent with other studies, showing proxies for % blockade being around ~35% for 50mg losartan rather than 70%. I also wonder if “Labeled Ang II %” figures may be a better proxy for % AT1R blockade than SBP (less prone to placebo etc)?

      --Philip Neustrom

    1. On 2021-07-04 08:41:03, user DainHendrix wrote:

      The JVCI seem to be using this paper as the sole source for justifying an 8-week gap for Pfizer in younger cohorts, despite the fact that the sample for this paper is 172 people aged 80 or over. Not by any stretch a fair representation of the population. It would be hard to argue that it is even possible to get a fair representation of genders, ages and ethnicities with a sample of 172 alone.

      With this is mind, what response do the authors give to the fact that this paper is being used to justify the current 8-week policy for second doses of Pfizer and Moderna when this paper does not make any attempt to back up that justification for younger cohorts, especially when the manufacturer and WHO recommend a 21-28 day gap between doses?

    1. On 2020-04-05 19:18:00, user Sinai Immunol Review Project wrote:

      Main Findings: <br /> The study compares IgM and IgG antibody testing to RT-PCR detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection. 133 patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 in Renmin Hospital (Wuhan University, China) were analyzed. The positive ratio was 78.95% (105/133) in IgM antibody test (SARS-CoV-2 antibody detection kit from YHLO Biotech) and 68.42% (91/133) in RT-PCR (SARS-CoV-2 ORF1ab/N qPCR detection kit). There were no differences in the sensitivity of SARS-CO-V2 diagnosis in patients grouped according to disease severity. For example, IgG responses were detected in 93.18% of moderate cases, 100% of severe cases and 97.3% of critical cases. In sum, positive ratios were higher in antibody testing compared to RT-PCR detection, demonstrating a higher detection sensitivity of IgM-IgG testing for patients hospitalized with COVID-19 symptoms.<br /> Limitations of the study:<br /> This analysis only included one-time point of 133 hospitalized patients, and the time from symptom onset was not described. There was no discussion about specificity of the tests and no healthy controls were included. It would be important to perform similar studies with more patients, including younger age groups and patients with mild symptoms as well as asymptomatic individuals. It is critical to determine how early after infection/symptom onset antibodies can be detected and the duration of this immune response.<br /> Relevance:<br /> The IgM-IgG combined testing is important to improve clinical sensitivity and diagnose COVID-19 patients. The combined antibody test shows higher sensitivity than individual IgM and IgG tests or nucleic acid-based methods, at least in patients hospitalized with symptoms. <br /> Review by Erica Dalla as part of a project by students, postdocs and faculty at the Immunology Institute of the Icahn school of medicine, Mount Sinai.

    1. On 2023-01-06 18:49:46, user Ahmet Tas wrote:

      Important Notice<br /> In this preliminary version, signal analysis is suboptimal due to inadequately designed filter for raw signal smoothing. Moving average method with inappropriately wide window length has caused blunted waveform peaks. For the actual study, authors have re-analyzed the PPG signals with an accordingly designed Savitzky - Golay filter.

      Importantly, comparisons between subgroups remained the same since all data had undergone the same processing (filtering).

    1. On 2021-12-22 22:56:01, user Richmond Heath wrote:

      Have any of the authors considered a possible restorative role & purpose of the tremors & vibrations rather than simply seeing them as a pathaological? Could they be efforts to help down-regulate the ANS from the chronic hyper-arousal associated with long Covid similar to the 'neurogenic tremors' associated with the recovery cascade after shock & trauma seeking to restore the systems of the body to natural states of flexibility & variability?

    1. On 2020-10-16 12:48:05, user Kirk Schlesinger wrote:

      I thank the WHO and all the national health agencies who participated in gathering data for the SOLIDARITY trial.

      With a mortality rate above 11% and diabetes incidence of 25%, the test subjects, all hospitalised and over a third on ventilators, were collectively a group with underlying conditions and many were already in an advanced stage of COVID-19.

      What I would hope the peer reviewers will help the SOLIDARITY trial authors explore in greater depth is the sub-cohort of patients in the SOLIDARITY trial with less advanced COVID-19: those not yet on oxygen or a ventilator, presenting mild symptoms when entering hospital.

      The hypothesis I would like SOLIDARITY and other trials to explore is that treatment with antivirals like Interferon and Remdesivir earlier in the course of disease is more beneficial than when more severe symptoms of COVID-19, particularly inflammation related to immune response, present and respiratory supports are introduced.

      There is evidence emerging from other studies that a Complete Blood Count (CBC) test, a conventional and reasonably low-cost test readily available and in use in the USA, can provide an advance indicator of probable severe inflammatory response using the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) produced by the CBC.

      If an antiviral such as Remdesivir; Interferon alpha, beta or lambda; Interleukin-6 inhibitor; or possibly even hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) is administered to patients with high NLR prior to presenting severe symptoms, some or all of these treatments may prove significantly more effective than when administered after severe symptoms present.

      I hope that the SOLIDARITY data and the data provided in other trials can be parsed and interpreted to test this hypothesis.

    1. On 2021-04-09 19:32:45, user Dr. Nandkumar Kamat wrote:

      In Indian state of Goa, with more than 3597 active cases ( cumulative 61239 cases, 845 deaths) as on April 9, Four Covid19 positive RT PCR samples taken just one day apart , in March 2021 from two males and females in same district produced four variants B.1.1.7; B.1.1.36, B.1 L452R, E484Q and B.1.1.464. The patients had no travel history. How samples taken one day apart can produce four different variants? . In four Positive samples?. What such high variant prevalence indicates? How to manage such a situation?. Any ideas? . The sequencing efforts are very slow.

    1. On 2021-01-23 01:56:50, user Super Science wrote:

      Interestingly similar Autoantibodies to beta-adrenergic and muscarinic cholinergic receptors in Myalgic Encephalomyelitis ‘Chronic Fatigue Syndrome’ (ME/CFS) patients were also found<br /> – A validation study in plasma and cerebrospinal fluid from two Swedish cohorts - ScienceDirect<br /> August 2020<br /> https://www.science direct.com/science/article/...

    1. On 2022-11-26 16:52:14, user Miles Markus wrote:

      This analysis by expert mathematicians is very welcome because as they state: "Understanding the cause of recurrent vivax malaria is critical for disease control efforts …".

      Homology in relation to Plasmodium vivax malarial recurrences is a core concept in this interesting paper. A complication as regards interpreting the origin of recurrences caused by homologous parasites has recently arisen because there has been a paradigm shift in our understanding of P. vivax biology. The bulk of the P. vivax parasite biomass in chronic infections is now known to be located outside the peripheral bloodstream and liver; and more recurrences might be recrudescences (as opposed to relapses – there being comparatively few hepatic hypnozoites present) than meets the eye [1].

      Light should soon be shed upon the matter. This is when it becomes apparent, from experiments using humanized mice, whether or not primaquine kills non-circulating asexual stages in bone marrow [2]. The prevailing idea in the literature is that most recurrences of P. vivax malaria are relapses, which is not necessarily correct (although it could be). That conclusion has been drawn mainly from recurrence patterns following treatment of patients that included primaquine.

      It is hoped that once the forthcoming new information related to parasite homology has become available via drug testing, the authors of this medRxiv article will be able to further extend their important analyses to take account thereof.

      REFERENCES:<br /> 1. Markus MB. 2022. Theoretical origin of genetically homologous Plasmodium vivax malarial recurrences. Southern African Journal of Infectious Diseases 37 (1): 369. https://doi.org/10.4102/saj...<br /> 2. Markus MB. 2022. How does primaquine prevent Plasmodium vivax malarial recurrences? Trends in Parasitology 38 (11): 924–925. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.p...

    1. On 2020-04-24 15:51:49, user Anne Wyllie wrote:

      I would need to look into this further, but if it is actually sputum that they are collecting, then no, not quite analogous - we are collecting just normal saliva - nothing from deep within.

    1. On 2020-02-06 06:41:02, user Ben Berman wrote:

      I want to point out that we recently reported a strong association between global hypomethylation and a proliferative gene expression signature (including key cell cycle markers like FOXM1) in a pan-cancer analysis of TCGA tumors (Zhou and Dinh et al., Nat. Genetics 2018 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41... ). We also reported increased copy number alterations and transposable element insertions in the hypomethylated tumors. We proposed a passive demethylation mechanism, whereby late replicating regions are less efficiently maintained during mitosis in both normal and cancer cells, resulting in both age- and cancer-associated hypomethylation. In our pan-cancer analysis, we found relatively high expression of DNMTs and UHRF1 in hypomethylated tumors, so your findings of low expression in these genes may be a consequence of your normalization to proliferation markers, or something ovarian cancer specific (we did not include ovarian cancer in our analysis, since we did not have 450k data for that cancer type). Please let me know if you have any questions.

    1. On 2020-08-05 12:20:29, user Per Sjögren-Gulve wrote:

      Have the authors tested whether the sample of incubation days is normally distributed or not? If not, it is more appropriate to present the range of the observed values than to report 95% CIs. The latter requires that the parameter is normally distributed (the arithmetric mean is equal to the median).

    1. On 2021-12-18 19:05:20, user Ben Veal wrote:

      Looks likely we'll be facing this individual freedom vs collective safety dilemma on a regular basis from now on, omicron is unlikely to be the last variant, and the inevitable flu pandemic hasn't struck yet.

      The kinds questions we all want answers to are: if I go the cinema in an area with a population density of X, infection rate of Y, and an immunity level of Z, how much extra risk am I incurring on myself and others? <br /> How does this compare with other risks such as smoking in a public space, or driving above the speed limit? <br /> The comparison ought to be done in terms of life expectancy rather than lives, e.g. using microlives rather than micromorts, to ensure a fairer comparison. <br /> How do the corresponding costs of safety compliance compare?

    1. On 2021-04-15 09:52:40, user Brendan Ruban wrote:

      It's enough to make your mind spin. Credit to the authors for their excellent endeavours. We want a free thinking, critical, scientifically literate public that we can present the evidence to, and then they'll make great decisions. But we'll never have that. Even my friends who received degree level scientific education fail to assess evidence thoroughly. Quantifying how well the message will be followed is surely beyond scientific analysis being so multifaceted. The messenger, the environment, the message, the personal affect on the follower... So many factors. I am a huge fan of scientific evidence, but there are so many things in life in which we'll never gain enough lucidity from the classical scientific approach. We need another tool that is rational and thoughtful and will be respected. And perhaps we need to look into sociology and political thought to guide us. Scientific analysis and simplistic messaging cannot fill that gap in the highly nuanced, diverse world we now live in. My two cents.

    1. On 2020-04-17 18:17:20, user LASD wrote:

      So...uh...what about Sweden? Have yet to see any reasonable explanation for why the lack of lockdown there didn't lead to catastrophic consequences and bodies piled up in the streets?

      Significantly lower number of confirmed cases/deaths than Switzerland and all the other major western European countries, Belgium, etc.

    1. On 2021-07-14 21:19:20, user SuperbFlab wrote:

      You have it backwards. Research abounds that masks in both hospital and community settings during influenza are ineffective going back decades. Masks were first introduced for bacteria. So the onus is on those who support masks to over turn the huge body of evidence showing they don't do much. My God people and these amulets.

    1. On 2020-05-11 19:29:55, user Charles Warden wrote:

      Thank you for posting this pre-print.

      I have a some questions:

      1) Are the p-values significant after a Bonferroni correction?

      2) Are you focusing on APOE because it is the most significant result for a relatively common SNP?

      3) How are you defining the COVID-19 severity? Table 1 makes it look like you are comparing the proportion of positive cases for the 3 APOE genotype combinations (E3/E3, E3/E4, and E4/E4). However, that would be different than filtering for positive cases, and then looking for an association with a variable that describes the severity of the case.

      4) I thought it was good and interesting that you excluded subsets of individuals to try to check for confounders. However, it looks like the number of APOE E4/E4 goes from 37 total (with none removed due to dementia) to 22 and then back up to 32 and 35. If you want to adjust for all individuals with chronic diseases, then I would have expected that to be cumulative. What happens if you remove all of the patients with chronic disease and then test within the highest age range?

      5) I would expect most normalization to reduce but not completely remove the effect being adjusted for. Is is possible to look at older individuals as a separate bin (perhaps in a "Table 2") as evidence that the age-adjustment was effective? I could imagine this (along with what I suggested in 3)) might cause some issues with sample size, but there are usually some limitations for every study mentioned in the discussion.

      6) Is there any sort of independent validation that you can do in another cohort? As more cases are known, do you plan to check the subset of samples that currently test negative but later test positive as a type of test dataset?

      7) I usually think of the "Data Availability" as being for new data (rather than public data), but I am glad that you mentioned you UK Biobank application. However, since this wasn't quite what I expected in the Data/Code link, can you share the code that you used for analysis (assuming it can be reproduced by anyone else with similar access)?

      Thank you again for sharing your research.

    1. On 2021-01-11 23:14:43, user Chaitanya wrote:

      Excited to read the paper since its amazing that the authors have both in vitro and patient sample data. I a curious to read more with regard to false positive/negative and the role of NASBA amplification

    1. On 2025-11-17 18:55:33, user David Stapells wrote:

      Interesting.

      Small comment:<br /> Rather than head size explaining larger amplitudes in females, Don and colleagues suggest cochlear travelling wave differences:

      Don, M., Ponton, C.W., Eggermont, J.J., Masuda, A. (1994). Auditory brainstem response (ABR) peak amplitude variability reflects individual differences in cochlear response times. J Acoust Soc Am, 96, 3476–3491.<br /> Don, M., Ponton, C.W., Eggermont, J.J., Masuda, A. (1993). Gender differences in cochlear response time: An explanation for gender amplitude differences in the unmasked auditory brain-stem response. J. Acoust. Soc. Am., 94, 2135–2148.

    1. On 2023-11-20 15:39:28, user Deepak Gupta wrote:

      Now published in Open Health doi: 10.1515/ohe-2023-0008 which is a condensed letter to editor of my this medRxiv preprint doi: 10.1101/2022.10.02.22280605 along with my other medRxiv preprint doi: 10.1101/2023.08.15.23294123

    1. On 2025-02-21 05:13:29, user Evan Stanbury wrote:

      Re "the individuals with PVS exhibited elevated levels of circulating full-length S compared to healthy controls". "full-length S" means that this Spike protein was from COVID virus, not COVID vaccine (which has a shorter version). This contradicts the hypothesis that the sick cohort were caused by the vaccine.

    1. On 2021-08-02 23:49:42, user Maria Knoll wrote:

      It would strengthen the duration of protection analysis in the table in Figure 2 if the potential for confounding by age, country and case ascertainment could be ruled out. The VE differed by age group and country (not statistically – wide 95%CIs), but I do not think they were adjusted for. Calendar time may also be a potential confounder if the 4+m period is capturing more post-holiday cases (Jan) while months 2-<4m period is capturing more pre-holiday (Nov). Changing rates in testing might also impact VE: if testing increased in the latter period due to increases in travel and as a result picked up more asymptomatic cases, that would lower its VE because VE is lower for asymptomatic infection than for symptomatic (99% of all cases >7d post dose 2 were non-severe but %symptomatic by period is not described). Also, if there was some unblinding (those with reactions may have correctly guessed they got the vaccine), vaccinees might put themselves at more risk (i.e., travel for the holidays) than placebo recipients which would mean vaccinees would have higher chance of infection (which would lower VE). It would be nice to see a sensitivity analysis performed on a restricted set of participants to try to remove some potential confounding, such as restrict to US only (which were 76% of the participants), restrict to adults (perhaps age 50+ or pick some narrower age range than the current age 12+), and adjust by calendar time of infection. Also describe the testing and positivity rates and proportion symptomatic among cases stratified by vaccinees/placebo and follow-up strata (i.e., 7d-<2m, 2m-<4m, 4m+) to see if case detection was similar across intervention groups and constant over the time periods.

    1. On 2021-08-05 10:30:00, user Piotr Goryl wrote:

      Dear Authors,

      You have compared 62 samples of Delta variant with 63 of 19A/19B to estimate relative viral load of two variants. How the samples were chosen? When this 63 of 19A/19B samples where collected?

      All the best,<br /> Piotr

    1. On 2020-08-21 15:33:25, user mikelor wrote:

      Interesting. I wonder if the estimation of Q (line 66) can be improved/tailored to a specific Origin/Destination pair by using the LEMMA model. It seeks to provide Local Projections for infection rates.

      In addition, Mask Policies for Major Domestic Airlines we're implemented in the latter half of June, so a "refreshed" statistic based on 100% mask compliance would also be interesting.

    1. On 2020-05-19 18:29:40, user Guy Gadboit wrote:

      The paper correctly points out that extensive nosocomial infections will result in an overestimate of IFR based on seroprevalence, since seroprevalence is measured in the general population outside the hospital. But we we quantify this by comparing estimated IFRs with known CFRs for different age groups? If we find that the CFR for the over 70s is only 8x for confirmed cases, but that based on seroprevalence, the IFR looks like it's 30x higher for the over 70s, then that would imply a much greater risk of becoming infected inside the hospital (where the average age of the patients will be high) rather than outside it. The hospitals in these regions should know the CFRs or have accurate estimates of them.

    2. On 2020-05-23 08:40:57, user Jon Arnold wrote:

      Very interesting discussion, but isn't the more important question what is the IFR rate for different age groups, and those with different underlying medical conditions? For a 80 year old male with high blood pressure the IFR is clearly rather high compared to a 20 year old with no underlying conditions where the IFR is absolutely tiny. Surely this is the essential question with this outbreak? It informs who should be protected or should protect themselves and who doesn't need to and who can therefore carry on living a normal life, go to work and help prevent the collapse of the economy which in turn will cause potentially yet more early deaths directly and, due to lower future health budgets, indirectly.

    1. On 2021-12-13 18:57:26, user joetanic wrote:

      breakthrough infections in previously infected

      Is this some assumption of the equality of natural immunity to vaccinations? It seems there are more antibodies generated in natural immunity, some that are external to the spike, and furthermore natural immunity seems far longer lasting than does vaccination.

      So from whence does this belief come?

    1. On 2020-07-26 13:57:22, user catcarouser wrote:

      I’ve read the comments criticizing the study. Since Norway adopted the study standards and opened gyms, the infection rate there — well, look it up yourselves. This has been a success.

    1. On 2021-06-12 18:21:17, user Tracii Kunkel wrote:

      Peer review in ANY case does not mean that peers reconduct the experiment - that called replication, not peer review. Peer review does examine scientific methods and looks for errors, one of those being not accounting for confounding variables and misinterpreting results. There were multiple confounding variables that were not addressed in this paper that will need to be addressed before it is accepted into any decent journal.

    2. On 2021-10-12 11:30:14, user AbsurdIdea wrote:

      There is no information regarding what aspects of the virus the "natural" immunity detects. On the other hand it is absolutely defined in the mRNA vaccine as being the spike protein. Thus any change in the recognition are can invalidate recognition. Only if spikes no longer exist is mRNA vaccination useless. We have no idea when the "natural" recognition would fail with any new variants. We know that the mRNA vaccine protects strongly against severe illness and death in Delta. Conversely, infection by the prior variants appear to have little effect on Delta.

    1. On 2022-01-21 21:47:18, user Brian Roberts wrote:

      Thanks for this most up-to-date study. The only "sensitivity" number that matters to the clinician is how the BinaxNOW compared to the PCR for the entire group. That number was not provided. Or how they compare in symptomatic vs. asymptomatic groups, since that information is known to the clinician. How they compare in groups defined by the PCR Ct counts is all but useless, since it is unknown information at the bedside.

    1. On 2021-05-07 12:57:59, user Melissa Y wrote:

      As acknowledged by the authors, some of them are co-founders of a company that is developing a product based on this technology. After three months of use, there was no significant difference between the stimulation and control groups on any standard measure of cognitive function. There was a significant difference on a name-face association task for a very few subjects. There was no significant difference between the groups in hippocampal atrophy. The data reported in the paper appear to conflict with what is stated in the abstract. The mostly negative results are consistent with the negative results reported by the company. These are just facts.

    1. On 2020-04-14 00:10:20, user Sinai Immunol Review Project wrote:

      Main findings<br /> This report is a retrospective analysis of clinical data collected from 47 patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease (median age 64.91 years; 26 males; 24 severe cases). Upon admission, patients were assessed with an APACHE II score (mortality risk) and SOFA score (organ system dysfunction). Among other clinical parameters, including lymphocyte count, CRP, and enzyme levels, serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level was most positively correlated with APACHE II and SOFA. Additionally, strong positive correlations were found between LDH and observational assessment of severity of pneumonia and of underlying coronary disease. Notably, serum LDH was also positively correlated with other univariate parameters, including troponin and CRP. Meanwhile, LDH was negatively correlated with lymphocyte count across different subsets, including CD4+ and CD8+ T cells.

      Limitations<br /> Several studies have previously identified serum LDH as a predictive biomarker for COVID-19 progression (see references). Therefore, it is important to note that while LDH correlates with disease severity, it does not suffice as a reason for severe disease, so whether it serves as a robust predictive factor is not thoroughly supported; an explanation is still needed between the release of LDH from infected cells and disease severity.

      Significance<br /> The identification of serum LDH as a predictive biomarker does glean insight into possible links between its release into the circulation and immune response to SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis. It is important to note that LDH release itself requires significant damage to and permeabilization of plasma membranes, leading to necrotic cell death. Therefore, this report, and others like it, should warrant investigation into the link between SARS-CoV-2 infection and potential necrosis or pyroptosis of infected host cells. It is important to note that previous studies concerning biomarkers for SARS-CoV-1 disease have also identified serum LDH as an important correlative factor with disease severity1. And subsequent investigations have studied the activation of inflammasome structures involved in pyroptosis in the presence of SARS-CoV2-3.

    1. On 2020-08-13 08:17:50, user Blanket Box wrote:

      This paper fails to define what constitutes a Covid "case" and so the statistics are essentially meaningless. There are multiple problems with national "case" data, including multiple swabs from one person being counted as multiple unique "cases", and serology (antibody) tests being counted as "cases" . However the major problem with "case" counts is that PCR testing creates cases. PCR does not verify presence of viable virus. The virus is not isolated. PCR amplifies viral RNA. However, people recovered from Covid shed inactive viral fragments for around 3 months. These are detectable by PCR and create false positive results - which are counted as "cases". The test is quite literally creating the cases. The number of PCR amplification cycles selected by the operator will determine the number of positive tests. More cycles will manufacturer more RNA and result in more positive results and therefore more cases. There is no peer reviewed methodology for determining how many cycles because the PCR test is not a diagnostic test and should not be used as such. One of the foundational principles of diagnosis is that the usefulness of a lab test is measured by how frequently the test results confirm the clinical diagnosis of symptoms by a doctor. Most of these so called “cases” do not represent people diagnosed with any disease or presenting any symptoms. They are positive PCR tests and nothing more. It should not be inferred or implied that a positive PCR test represents a unique individual with an active infection because that is simply not the case.

      Most of the links about PCR test including shedding of inactive virus by recovered people can be found in this article https://www.conservativerev...

      Other useful links are<br /> https://vimeo.com/443416775<br /> https://twitter.com/ussuric...<br /> https://medium.com/@vernunf...

    1. On 2021-08-12 12:32:47, user Christopher M. Brown wrote:

      This is an interesting study, but one glaring confounder which the authors do not seem to have addressed is age. Older patients, who are much more susceptible to infection and hospitalization, also tend to be the most vaccinated cohort. Additionally, older patients are more likely to be vaccinated with BioNTech than Moderna, given the earlier introduction of that product. Patient age and time since vaccination may also account for a large part of the gap seen between the two vaccines in recent estimated efficacy. An attempt should be made to stratify/analyze these data using age.

    1. On 2019-07-11 21:22:22, user Guyguy wrote:

      EVOLUTION OF THE EBOLA EPIDEMIC IN THE PROVINCES OF NORTH KIVU AND ITURI

      Wednesday, July 10, 2019

      The epidemiological situation of the Ebola Virus Disease dated July 9, 2019:

      131 Contaminated health workers<br /> 3 health workers, including 2 vaccinated, are among the new confirmed cases (1 in Beni, 1 in Kalunguta and 1 in Katwa). The unvaccinated Kalunguta health worker died in a community health center.<br /> The cumulative number of confirmed / probable cases among health workers is 131 (5% of all confirmed / probable cases), including 41 deaths.

      Since the beginning of the epidemic, the cumulative number of cases is 2,437, of which 2,343 are confirmed and 94 are probable. In total, there were 1,646 deaths (1,552 confirmed and 94 probable) and 683 people healed.<br /> 358 suspected cases under investigation;<br /> 9 new confirmed cases, including 6 in Beni, 1 in Mambasa, 1 in Kalunguta and 1 in Katwa;<br /> 5 new confirmed case deaths:<br /> 5 community deaths, 2 in Beni, 1 in Oicha, 1 in Mambasa and 1 in Kalunguta;

      Data on deaths of confirmed cases managed by Ebola Treatment Centers are not available this Wednesday.

      EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SURVEILLANCE

      New health area affected: Mambasa (Ituri). The first case is an 8-year-old boy residing in Mambasa who had been to Beni with his mother. His mother, confirmed Ebola, died in Beni on June 19, 2019 but she was not buried in a dignified and secure manner. After developing the disease, the boy returned to Mambasa with his uncle. He died at the Mambasa Reference General Hospital.<br /> 156,851Vaccinated persons<br /> The only vaccine to be used in this outbreak is the rVSV-ZEBOV vaccine, manufactured by the pharmaceutical group Merck, following approval by the Ethics Committee in its decision of 19 May 2018.<br /> 73,466,784 Controlled people<br /> 80 entry points (PoE) and operational health checkpoints (PoC).<br /> Source: Ministry of Health press team on the state of the response to the Ebola epidemic in the Democratic Republic of Congo

    1. On 2020-06-30 12:20:05, user Dude Dujmovic wrote:

      Nothing about filtration other than saying use multiple layers to improve filtration? How many layers? That is the most important aspect of mask. Hydrophobic property is important but you cannot recommend something that you did not do basic filtration research about.

    1. On 2022-01-08 00:34:01, user AC wrote:

      If ~40% of prevalent cases during the “omicron emergent” window are delta, why would severe outcomes be less than 40% what they were in the previous time window? Even if the severe effects were concentrated entirely among delta patients and none from omicron, these rates are still lower than expected. This suggests to me there could be an unidentified confounding factor.

    1. On 2020-07-03 20:21:43, user Marm Kilpatrick wrote:

      Interesting paper. <br /> Could you clarify if the incidence values in Fig 1,2 and throughout are:<br /> Incidence = Cases in age group X/total population<br /> OR<br /> Incidence = Cases in age group X/population of age group X<br /> Since the age groups represent different fractions of the total populations this would change the intercept of the different incidence values/curves.<br /> Thanks!<br /> marm

    1. On 2021-08-13 19:04:53, user Mary Poirot wrote:

      Could it possibly be that reducing parasite load in a subject allows the immune system to better fight a viral infection?

    1. On 2020-04-15 11:35:12, user GP MD wrote:

      Ceftriaxone and azithromycin have their own toxicities....including mitochondrial dysfunction and ROS over-production in mammalian cells. The dosing of all three agents means a much higher risk of oxidative damage to mammalian DNA, proteins and membrane lipids. This would be worsened in those with impaired production of glutathione or reduced glutathione levels due to acetaminophen dosing.

    1. On 2021-11-24 00:22:39, user Nik Kolb wrote:

      Could you please double check if the German vaccination data in ECDC are handled correctly for your calculations? The burden is unexpectedly high.<br /> It might be that the lack of more detailed age groups than 3 categories (<18 years, 18-64, 65+) resulted in a wrong attribution of the vaccine coverage. I could not find a method how you "interpolated" the vaccine coverage by age group, but Supplementary Figure S1 suggests that it does not really reflect the true vaccine coverage in each age group. While the true coverage sadly is unknown in Germany, a telephone survey among german speaking participants conducted by RKI given some hint about the true coverage: https://www.rki.de/DE/Conte...

    1. On 2021-12-23 17:01:02, user Bonnie Taylor-Blake wrote:

      A quick comment, if you will. I'd urge the authors to double-check the contention that '[t]he US Surgeon General stated in 1969 that it was time to ...close the book on infectious diseases, declare the war on pestilence won.” In fact, Brad Spellberg and I looked high and low for corroboration that then-Surgeon General William H. Stewart had indeed made such a claim and we couldn't find it. Instead, we were able to discern how such a misattribution came to be. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih...

    1. On 2024-10-19 15:28:14, user Steve Laurie wrote:

      Great work - congratulations. Let's hope WGS becomes standard of care in NICUs some day soon.

      Just wanted to let you know that you have duplication of text in the Methods in the current version, lines 144-153 and 153-162.<br /> I also doubt that citation 67 at the end of the paragraph is the one you meant to cite.

    1. On 2021-02-09 15:58:51, user David Curtis wrote:

      I don't get it. Mendelian randomisation is supposed to test a causal relationship between two phenotypes. Here, you seem to be saying that your results demonstrate that smoking has a causal effect on depression and that depression has a causal effect on smoking. I don't see how you distinguish this from the alternative explanation - that there are genetic variants which increase risk of both smoking and depression. How do you distinguish causal effects from a simple genetic correlation?

    1. On 2020-10-22 17:59:48, user Jeremy Rolls wrote:

      I repeat below my comments on the earlier version but with an update on the numbers I referenced. London has continued recently to have much lower hospital deaths than its share of the population would suggest, even though if antibody data alone was used a judge of how many have been infected it would seem that 80+% were yet to be infected as against 90+% nationally. London has 15.95% of the population of England but since June 1st has only had 7.25% of the deaths. (The numbers were pretty consistent through June, July and August, rose in September but then haven fallen back in October mtd. I suspect the rise in September is because London was earlier than other regions in seeing the impact of whatever the reasons the general rise across Europe have been). This continues to tell me that antibody data is nor providing the full picture on whom has been infected or may have pre-existing immunity and that the low death numbers (both absolute and relative) in London are because the virus is naturally running out of people to infect.

      A strategy of partial lockdown does not seem like a logical or proportionate response. Imperfect though it may be (but there is no perfect solution) the Gt Barrington concept of focused protection would seem a far more sensible way forward whilst allowing the rest of us to achieve herd immunity and get on with our lives.

      Fascinating paper. Looking at the antibody data (such as there is any <br /> published here in the UK) about 18% of people in London have antibodies <br /> compared to about 8% nationally. On that basis alone 82% of Londoners <br /> may still get infected compared to 92% nationally - i.e. you would <br /> expect the mortality rate in London still to be pretty close to the <br /> national rate. Yet the hospital death stats for covid-19 in recent weeks<br /> shows London's rate consistently to be less than 40% of the national <br /> rate. Something else must, therefore, be going on - a) London is locking<br /> down better (unlikely), b) antibody immunity does not give the complete<br /> picture (possible given the data coming out of Sweden showing that for <br /> every person having antibodies two others have T-cell immunity) or c) <br /> there is a % of the population who have pre-existing resistance (from <br /> exposure to other corona-viruses) or are biologically incapable of <br /> getting infected. Ruling out a), a quick bit of maths shows about 75% of<br /> the population must fall into b) or c). So, on that basis, in London <br /> well over 90% have either been exposed to the virus or have pre-existing<br /> immunity and maybe 80-85% nationally. I suggest herd immunity has <br /> probably been achieved in London and is close in many other parts of the<br /> UK.

    1. On 2020-05-08 06:17:03, user Yoshihiro Ishida wrote:

      I read this manuscript with great interest. I see that K value may potentially be a good measure for assessing the efficacy of social interventions. However, I doubt how useful it is for making predictions.

      My concerns are:<br /> 1. The authors seem to pick an arbitrary period for each country to fit the model. The model may fit nicely retrospectively, but it may merely be overfitting without much generalizability or predictive value.<br /> 2. In fact, the parameter does not seem to predict explosive increase in Russia past mid-April.

    1. On 2022-01-28 20:32:54, user Dhuha Al-Rasool wrote:

      Very interesting article! It would be interesting to see the impact of THC on the SI results considering that it does not wear off as quickly as alcohol.

      • D and T
    1. On 2020-06-15 15:45:17, user Schwebe Pan wrote:

      Some previous studies have suggested that smoking might reduce the risk of infection with Covid-19, but I am unaware of studies claiming that smoking might reduce the severity of the disease. On the contrary, the current state of the art is that smoking is a risk factor for more severe outcomes. Why, then, is this study trying to check a claim for which there is no evidence but not the actual question of interest?

    1. On 2020-04-19 12:52:50, user David Steadson wrote:

      The model uses a base of 200 cumulative deaths for March 31 to calibrate. FHM data as of today (April 19) reports 329 cumulative deaths for that date, a figure 64.5% higher - and that data is still subject to change, with 2 deaths being added as recently as yesterday. The doubling time used is also inaccurate based on more up to date date, though not as significantly.

      Recalibration would appear necessary.

    1. On 2020-04-23 05:17:25, user B Yabut wrote:

      The authors forgot the known main mechanism by which hydroxychloroquine works. Late administration at the point needing intubation means the cytokine storm has alreadybeen set in motion. Biomolecular and cellular studies showed that hydroxychloroquine works at the point of viral cellular entry and early inside the cell. Granted it also has a still unelaborated effect on the inflammatory process the study from France specifically included the pre-condition "Early administration."

    1. On 2020-05-15 15:43:49, user Michael Shmoish wrote:

      Dear authors, thanks for your important contribution! <br /> Could you please inform how many ICU admissions and deaths were recorded out of 173 "complicated COVID-19" cases?

    1. On 2021-09-29 22:14:43, user Hiam dodu wrote:

      Saudi has very low rate of infection since the beginning and the conclusion contradicts what the manufacturer revealed.

    1. On 2019-10-28 19:46:45, user Mark Yarbrough wrote:

      Does anybody have any code examples of how to extract data in the proper structure from the MIMICIII data, (I have official access), into PheWAS for r? I/We are working on our practicum and focusing on type - 2 diabetes - we also want to try clustering on such data using K-mediods for mixed-type features in many columns - with ICD9 codes one-hot encoded.

    1. On 2020-05-11 01:41:57, user Sinai Immunol Review Project wrote:

      Main findings<br /> The need for improved cellular profiling of host immune responses seen in COVID-19 has required the use of high-throughput technologies that can detail the immune landscape of these patients at high granularity. To fulfill that need, Chua et al. performed 3’ single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNAseq) on nasopharyngeal (or pooled nasopharyngeal/pharyngeal swabs) (NS), bronchiolar protected specimen brush (PSB), and broncheoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples from 14 COVID-19 patients with moderate (n=5) and critical (n=9, all admitted to the ICU; n=2 deaths) disease, according to WHO criteria. Four patients (n=2 with moderate COVID-19; n=2 with critical disease, n=1 on short-term non-invasive ventilation and n=1 on long-term invasive ventilation), were sampled longitudinally up to four times at various time points post symptom onset. In addition, multiple samples from all three respiratory sites (NS, PSB, BAL) were collected from two ICU patients on long-term mechanical ventilation, one of whom died a few days after the sampling procedure. Moreover, three SARS-CoV-2 negative controls, one patient diagnosed with Influenza B as well as two volunteers described as “supposedly healthy”, were included in this study with a total of n=17 donors and n=29 samples.

      Clustering analysis of cells isolated from NS samples identified all major epithelial cell types, including basal, scretory, ciliated, and FOXN4+ cells as well as ionocytes; of particular note, a subset of basal cells was found to have a positive IFN? transcriptional signature, suggesting prior activation of these cells by the host immune system, likely in response to viral injury. In addition to airway epithelial cells, 6 immune cell types were identified and further subdivided into a total of 12 different subsets. These included macrophages (moMacs, nrMacs), DCs (moDCs, pDCs), mast cells, neutrophils, CD8 T (CTLs, lytic T cells), B, and NKT cells; however, seemingly neither NK nor CD4 T cells were detected and the Treg population lacked canonical expression of FoxP3, so it is unclear whether this population is truly represented.

      Interestingly, secretory and ciliated cells in COVID-19 patients were shown to have upregulated ACE2 and coexpression with at least one S-priming protease indicative of viral infection; ACE2 expression on respiratory target cells increased by 2-3 fold in COVID-19 patients, compared to healthy controls. Notably, ciliated cells were mostly ACE2+/TMRPSS+, while secretory and FOXN4+ cells were predominantly ACE2+/TMRPSS+/FURIN+; accordingly, secretory and ciliated cells contained the highest number of SARS-CoV-2 infected cells. However, viral transcripts were generally low 10 days post symptom onset (as would be expected based on reduced viral shedding in later stages of COVID-19). Similarly, the authors report very low counts of immune cell-associated viral transcripts that are likely accounted for by the results of phagocytosis or surface binding. However, direct infection of macrophages by SARS-CoV-2 has previously been reported 1,2. Here, it is possible that these differences could be due to the different clinical stages and non-standardized gene annotation.

      Pseudotime mapping of the obtained airway epithelial data suggested a direct differentiation trajectory from basal to ciliated cells (in contrast to the classical pathway from basal cells via secretory cells to terminally differentiated ciliated cells), driven by interferon stimulated genes (ISGs). Moreover, computational interaction analysis between these ACE2+ secretory/ciliated cells and CD8 CTLs indicated that upregulation of ACE2 receptor expression on airway epithelial cells might be induced by IFN?, derived from these lymphocytes. However, while IFN-mediated ACE2 upregulation in response to viral infections may generally be considered a protective component of the antiviral host response, the mechanism proposed here may be particularly harmful in the context of critical COVID-19, rendering these patients more susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

      Moreover, direct comparisons between moderate and critical COVID-19 patient samples revealed fewer tissue-resident macs and monocyte-derived dendritic cells but increased frequencies of non-resident macs and neutrophils in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Notably, neutrophil infiltration in COVID-19 samples was significantly greater than in those obtained from healthy controls and the Influenza B patient. In addition, patients with moderate disease and those on short-term non-invasive ventilation had similar gene expression profiles (each n=1),; whereas, critical patients on long-term ventilation expressed substantially higher levels of pro-inflammatory and chemoattractant genes including TNF, IL1B, CXCL5, CCL2, and CCL3. However, no data on potentially decreasing gene expression levels related to convalescence were obtained. Generally, these profiles support findings of activated, inflammatory macrophages and CTLs with upregulated markers of cytotoxicity in critically ill COVID-19 patients. These inflammatory macrophages and CTLs may further contribute to pathology via apoptosis suggested by high CASP3 levels in airway epithelial cells. Interestingly, the CCL5/CCR5 axis was enriched among CTLs in PSB and BAL samples obtained from moderate COVID-19 patients; recently, a disruption of that axis using leronlimab was reported to induce restoration of the CD8 T cell count in critically ill COVID-19 patients 3.

      Lastly, in critically ill COVID-19 patients, non-resident macrophages were found to have higher expression levels of genes involved in extravasation processes such as ITGAM, ITGAX and others. Conversely, endothelial cells were shown to express VEGFA and ICAM1, which are typical markers of macrophage/immune cell recruitment. This finding supports the notion that circulating inflammatory monocytes interact with dysfunctional endothelium to infiltrate damaged tissues. Of note, in the patient with influenza B, cellular patterns and expression levels of these extravasation markers were profoundly different from critically ill COVID-19.

      Importantly, the aforementioned immune cell subsets were found equally in all three respiratory site samples obtained from two multiple-sample ICU donors, and there were no differences, with regards to upper vs. lower respiratory tract epithelial ACE2 expression. However, viral loads were higher in BAL samples as compared to NS samples, and lower respiratory tract macrophages showed overall greater pro-inflammatory potential, corresponding to higher CASP3 levels found in PSB and BAL samples. In general, the interactions between host airway epithelial and immune cells described in this preprint likely contribute to viral clearance in mild and moderate disease but might be excessive in critical cases and may therefore contribute to the observed COVID-19 immunopathology. Based on these findings and the discussed immune cell profiles above, the authors suggest the use of immunomodulatory therapies targeting chemokines and chemokine receptors, such as blockade of CCR1 by itself or in combination with CCR5, to treat COVID-19 associated hyperinflammation.

      Limitations<br /> Technical<br /> In addition to the small sample size, it is unclear whether samples were collected at similar time points throughout the disease course of each patient, even with time since diagnosis normalized across patients. While sampling dates in relation to symptom onset are listed, it remains somewhat unclear what kind of samples were routinely obtained per patient at given time points (with the exception of the two patients with multiple sampling). Moreover, it would have been of particular interest (and technically feasible) to collect additional swabs from the convalescent ICU patient to generate a kinetic profile of chemokine gene expression levels, with respect to disease severity as well as onset of recovery. Again, with an n=1, the number of cases per longitudinal/multiple sampling subgroup is very limited, and, in addition to the variable sampling dates, overall time passed since symptom onset as well as disease symptoms and potential treatment (e.g. invasive vs non-invasive ventilation, ECMO therapy…) across all clinical subgroups, makes a comparative analysis rather difficult.

      It is important to note that a lack of standardized gene annotation across different studies contributes to a significant degree of variability in characterizations of immune landscapes found in COVID-19 patients. As a result, inter-study comparisons are difficult to perform. For instance, an analysis of single-cell RNA sequencing performed on bronchoalveolar lavage samples by Bost et al. identified lymphoid populations that were not found in the present study. These include several enriched subtypes of CD4+ T cells and NK cells, among others. Ultimately, these transcriptomic descriptions will still need to be furthered with additional follow-up studies, including proteomic analysis, to move beyond speculation and towards substantive hypotheses.

      Biological<br /> One additional limitation involved the use of the influenza B patient. Given that the patient suffered a rather mild form of the disease (no ICU admission or mechanical ventilation required, patient was discharged from hospital after 4 days) as opposed to the to authors’ assessment as a severe case, this patient may have served as an acceptable positive control for mild and some moderate COVID-19 patients. However, this approach should still be viewed cautiously, since the potential differences of pulmonary epithelial and immune cell pathologies induced by influenza compared to critical COVID-19 patients are still unclear. Moreover, it seems that one of the presumably healthy controls was recovering from a viral infection. Since it is unclear how a recent mild viral infection might have changed the respiratory cellular compartment and immune cell phenotype, this donor should have been excluded or not used as a healthy reference control.

      Significance<br /> In general, this is a well-conducted study and provides a number of corroborative and interesting findings that contribute to our understanding of immune and non-immune cell heterogeneity in COVID-19 pathogenesis. Importantly, observations on ACE2 and ACE2 coexpression in airway epithelial cells generally corroborate previous reports. In addition, direct differentiation of IFN?+ basal cells to ACE2-expressing ciliated cells, as suggested by trajectory analysis, is a very interesting hypothesis, which, if confirmed, might contribute to progression of disease severity. The findings described in this preprint further suggest an important role for chemokines and chemokine receptors on immune cells, most notably macrophages and CTLs, which is highly relevant.

      This review was undertaken by Matthew D. Park and Verena van der Heide as part of a project by students, postdocs and faculty at the Immunology Institute of the Icahn school of medicine, Mount Sinai.

      References<br /> 1. Chen, Y. et al. The Novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Directly Decimates Human Spleens and Lymph Nodes. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS) (2020) doi:10.1101/2020.03.27.20045427.<br /> 2. Bost, P. et al. Host-viral infection maps reveal signatures of severe COVID-19 patients. Cell (2020) doi:10.1016/j.cell.2020.05.006.<br /> 3. Patterson, B. K. et al. Disruption of the CCL5/RANTES-CCR5 Pathway Restores Immune Homeostasis and Reduces Plasma Viral Load in Critical COVID-19. medRxiv (2020).

    1. On 2020-06-04 09:47:03, user Malcolm Semple wrote:

      Dear Authors, Great paper, well written. Your reference Docherty et al as unpublished. This is now published in BMJ : Docherty Annemarie B, Harrison Ewen M, Green Christopher A, Hardwick Hayley E, Pius Riinu, Norman Lisa et al. Features of 20 133 UK patients in hospital with covid-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol: prospective observational cohort study BMJ 2020; 369 :m1985

      Did you identify distinct symptom clusters as we did?

      Wishing you well

      Calum<br /> CI ISARIC4C & CO-CIN

    1. On 2020-03-28 18:07:46, user Ian Timaeus wrote:

      I may be being very stupid, but isn't the ACFR formula given in the preprint wrong? Aren't you simply averaging the age-specific CFRs? So don't you want to multiply their sum by n/100, i.e. divide by the number of age intervals, not multiply by the width of those intervals? As an alternative, you could standardise the age-specific CFRs on the age-sex distribution of Italy, rather than on a uniform age distribution, so that the adjusted CFR equated to the CFR if incidence were constant by age and sex.

    1. On 2021-09-29 07:40:06, user Richard Stone wrote:

      How many people are in the study? Human chemistry is very complex. Some markers work well with some people and not so well with others.

    1. On 2020-05-01 10:56:16, user Ivan Berlin wrote:

      Rentsch CT et al. Covid-19 Testing, Hospital Admission, and Intensive Care Among 2,026,227 United States Veterans Aged 54-75 Years. <br /> medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/202... version posted April 14, 2020<br /> Comment of the results concerning smoking related issues. Corrected Version. Please ignore the previous one.<br /> Ivan Berlin, Paris, France<br /> The title is somewhat misleading. Only 3789 persons were tested for SARS-CoV-2, no data on the 2,022,438 are reported.<br /> Data are extracted from the Veteran Administration (USA) Birth Cohort born between 1945 and 1965 electronic database. Between February 8 and March 30, 2020, 3789 persons were tested for SARS-CoV-2. Among them 585 were tested SARS-CoV-2 positive (15.4%) and 3204 SARS-CoV-2 negative. (Remark: the authors frequently confound testing for SARS-CoV-2 and having the disease: COVID-19 +.)<br /> Testing used nasopharyngeal swabs, 1% of the testing samples was from other unspecified sources. Testing was performed “in VA state public health and commercial reference laboratoires”, page 7. No further specification about the testing method is provided. Data are analyzed as if no between test-sources variability existed. However, it is unlikely that between test-source variability would influence the findings.<br /> It seems that only individuals with symptoms were tested, however this is not clearly stated.<br /> Data extraction included diagnostics by diagnostic codes of comorbidities, non-steroid inflammatory drug (NSAID), angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACE) and angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB) use, vital signs, laboratory results, hepatic fibrosis score, presence or absence of alcohol use disorder and smoking status.<br /> Smoking status data, never, former, current smokers were extracted using the algorithm described in McGinnis et al. Validating Smoking Data From the Veteran’s Affairs Health Factors Dataset, an Electronic Data Source. Nicotine & Tobacco Research, Volume 13, Issue 12, December 2011, Pages 1233–1239, https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr... used for HIV patients. According to this paper, the algorithm correctly classified 84% of never-smokers 95% of current smokers but only 43% of former smokers. The reported overall kappa statistic was 0.66. When categories were collapsed into ever/never, the kappa statistic was somewhat better: 0.72 (sensitivity = 91%; specificity = 84%), and for current/not current, 0.75 (sensitivity = 95%; specificity = 79%). Thus, classification error cannot be excluded in particular in classifying former smokers. <br /> In unadjusted analyses (Table 1) factors associated significantly with SARS-CoV-2 positivity were: male sex, black race, urban residence, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, hypertension, higher body mass index, vital signs but not NSAID or ACE/ARB exposure. It is to note, that among the laboratory findings, severity of hepatic fibrosis was associated with positive SARS-CoV-2 tests. <br /> Among those with positive SARS-CoV2 alcohol use disorder was reported by 48/585 (8.2%), versus 480/3204 (15%) among those with negative SARS-CoV-2 test. Among those with alcohol use disorder, 9.1 tested positive. <br /> Among SARS-CoV-2 positives there were 216/585 (36.9%) never smokers vs 826/3204 (25.8%) among SARS-CoV-2 negatives. 20.7% tested positive among never smokers. Among SARS-CoV-2 positive persons 179 (30.6%) were former smokers vs 704 (22%) among SARS-CoV-2 negatives. 20.3 % tested positive among former smokers. Among SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals 159 (27.7%) were current smokers vs 1444 (45.1%) among SARS-CoV-2 negative individuals. 9.9% tested positive among current smokers. Expressed otherwise, among SARS-CoV-2 negative individuals, there were less never smokers, less former smokers and more current smokers. Among individuals with SARS-CoV-2 positivity there were 338/585 (61%) persons with smoking history (former + current smokers=ever smokers) and among those with SARS-CoV-2 negativity 2149/3204 (72%) were ever smokers. <br /> COPD, known to be strongly related to former or current smoking, was more frequent among SARS-CoV-2 negative (28.2%) than among SARS-CoV-2 positive (15.4%) individuals.<br /> In multivariable analyses (Table 2), male sex, black ethnicity, urban residence, lower systolic blood pressure, prior use of NSAID but not ACE/ARB use and obesity were associated with SARS-CoV-2 positive test; current smoking (OR: 0.45, 91% CI: 0.35-057), alcohol use disorder (OR 0.58, 95% CI: 0.41-0.83) and COPD (OR: 0.67, 95%CI: 0.50-0.88) were associated with decreased likelihood of SARS-CoV-2 positive test. No association with age and SARS-CoV-2 positive test was observed. The association with hepatic fibrosis with SARS-CoV-2 positive tests remained significant in the multivariable analysis and the authors point out (page 15) that the “pronounced independent association with FIB-4 (fibrosis) and albumin suggest that virally induced haptic inflammation may be a harbinger of the cytokine storm.”, page 15. <br /> The main risk factors for hospitalization or ICU among SARS-CoV-2 positive persons are those that associated with worse clinical signs (status). This is expected: clinical decision about severity is based on current clinical signs and not on previous history. <br /> Neither co-morbidities, nor smoking status or alcohol use disorder were associated with hospitalization/ICU. Surprisingly, age was inversely associated with hospitalization (Table 4) among SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals.<br /> Conclusion

      To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report showing that there are less current smokers among SARS-CoV-2 positive persons. However, looking at smoking history (former + current smoking=ever smokers), less subject of classification bias, the difference seems to be less. It is not known what is the percent of former smokers who were recent quitters; duration of previous abstinence from smoking is a crucial variable in assessing associations with smoking status. There is no report of biochemical verification of smoking status. <br /> It is not known when smoking status is reported with respect of the SARS-CoV-2 testing. It is likely that individuals with clinical symptoms stopped smoking some days before testing and considered themselves as former smokers.

      The fact that alcohol use disorder, which is frequently associated with tobacco use disorder, is also less frequent among SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals raises the question of the specificity of the smoking finding and raises the contribution of substance use disorders overall i.e. the finding about current smoking is part of a cluster of various previous or current substance use disorders e.g. cannabis use, potentially associated with SARS-CoV-2 negative test directly or through associated health disorders e.g. hepatic disorders as a consequence of alcohol use. <br /> COPD as well as current smoking are being reported to be more frequent among SARS-CoV-2 negative individuals raising the possibility that reduced respiratory function (entry of SARS-CoV-2 is by the respiratory tract) is associated with lower likelihood of SARS-CoV-2 positive tests. <br /> It seems that all individuals included were tested because they had symptoms suggestive of COVID-19. It is surprising that only 585/3789 (15.4%) tested positive. This should be discussed.<br /> The paper does not report on analyses of smoking by clinical signs/co-morbidities interactions. It is likely that former smokers or those with alcohol use disorders are more frequent among individuals with comorbidities. Based on previous knowledge about smoking associated health disorders, one can assume that more severe clinical signs were associated with current smoking or among recent quitters; the smoking x clinical signs interaction is not tested. <br /> The authors conclude on page 14 “To wit, we found that current smoking, COPD, and alcohol use disorder, factors that generally increase risk of pneumonia, were associated with decreased probability of testing positive. While they were not associated with hospitalization or intensive care, it is too early to tell if these factors are associated with subsequent outcomes such as respiratory failure or mortality.”<br /> The reduced current smoking rate among SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals is an interesting but preliminary finding. It is likely that it is part of a more complex symptomatology and not specific to current smoking. Smoking status should have been assessed on a more detailed manner. The current findings, from a retrospective, cross sectional analysis, are insufficient to support the hypothesis that current smoking protects against SARS-CoV-2 positivity.

    1. On 2021-05-23 07:56:10, user Sabina Pfister wrote:

      Table shows significant difference in distribution of 1-2 symptoms and 3 or more symptoms between seropositive and seronegative. Yet the discussion combines the two categories into 1 or more symptoms. Looking at 3 or more symptoms separately could lead to different conclusions, with the caveat of low numbers.

    1. On 2022-02-03 21:28:46, user Bruce Futcher wrote:

      Here, as with other vaccines, titres against omicron are only about one-tenth as high as against the vaccine strain. There is no indication of this central fact in the title or the abstract. There is no indication here that this vaccine is relatively better against omicron than is any other vaccine.

    1. On 2021-06-12 19:20:03, user brycenesbittt wrote:

      The missing matching is individuals who "continue to take covid precautions" such as distancing, masking indoors, and limiting exposure in indoor crowds. Matching people just by zip code, age and gender misses this not-so-subtle point.

    1. On 2021-01-05 03:55:19, user mahejibin khan wrote:

      Though air transmission of the virus has been suspected , swab samples collected in unsterile conditions for RT-PCR screening of human subjects continues to be a practice in many regions/countries. <br /> Two mass scale nasopharyngeal swabs of employees of an establishment in Mysore, Karnataka, India, collected under unsterile conditions in their premises, by seating them in an open ground and screened for SARS-CoV-2 infection by RT-PCR, identified a large number of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 positive cases. Thus the establishment forced a two-day campus lockdown, on both the occasions, in order to sanitize and break the virus transmission chain. Since most of the infected subjects remained asymptomatic through their home quarantined period, they were certified for fitness to resume work. Since reports have shown patients fighting SARS-CoV2 infection developing IgM and IgG antibodies between 6–15 days after disease onset. Blood samples of two RT-PCR positive asymptomatic subjects after 17 day home quarantine were analysed for the presence of IgM and IgG antibodies. Absence of detectable titres of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 virus in the two blood samples suggested lack of acquired immunity due to asymptomatic patients unexposed to the virus. Nasopharyngeal swabs positive for the virus by RT-PCR inferences establishment of the Covid-19 pathogen infection in the host. Absence of prodromal symptoms for the disease in these subjects and some of them testing negative in a second Rapid Antigen Detection Test (RAD) opinion, when swabs were sampled in designated hospital rooms, suggested occurrence of air borne virus and swab contamination during sample collection under unsterile conditions. <br /> Droplets that are sneezed or coughed behave differently in the open air, according to environmental conditions like temperature, humidity, ventilation, and the amount of virus deposited.<br /> My observations on plausibility of air borne SARS-CoV2, RT-PCR determining their fairly high numbers and prevalence of asymptomatic subjects living in that environment provides leads for studies with reference to herd immunity from the purview of viral attenuation due to environment and/or innate immunity initiation through pattern recognition receptors

    1. On 2020-06-19 03:12:29, user AMM wrote:

      1. I would like to know if serological tests were performed on the 118 healthcare workers who did have COVID, and what that data shows.

      2. The methods state that 2 separate tests for IgG/M were used: MCLIA and colloidal gold. Were both used on all subjects, did some subjects get just one or the other? This is important because they have different sensitivities and specificities.

      3. The paper states that the LAST TEST RESULT for each person was used (for RT-PCR and IgG/M). For the hospitalized COVID patients, did they ever have a positive test? If so, when?

      4. You assume that all COVID+ patients must have developed the antibodies, but 10% lost them. You base this from a paper that said 100% of patients developed IgG by day 17-19. However, the population tested in that paper has much milder cases than in your population. It would not be wise to assume that every patient develops antibodies from a limited population study.

      5. It could easily be that the 10% of hospitalized COVID patients who tested negative for IgG/M just represent the false negatives. The colloidal gold test you used only has a sensitivity of 88.6%. So a 10% false negative would be expected from that test.

      6. You cited another research article that tested for IgG in 1021 people returning to work. This was also in Wuhan. They found 10% of their population tested positive for antibodies, while your general population group showed 4.6% positive. I believe this is more reason to perform your own sensitivity tests of the kit you used.

      7. One observation not mentioned about your data is that it shows 4% of healthcare workers (who had much more exposure to COVID) tested positive for IgG, compared to 4.6% of non-healthcare workers. One would expect their numbers to be higher, not lower, than non-healthcare workers.

      I do not believe there is sufficient scientific evidence here to support the claim that “after SARS-CoV-2 infection, people are unlikely to produce long-lasting protective antibodies against this virus.”

    1. On 2021-09-15 06:06:42, user Jakob Heitz wrote:

      Why is the time frame for Covid hospitalizations of 120 days chosen and then compared with CAE events due to vaccination? Is it assumed that an individual will get vaccinated every 120 days?

    2. On 2021-09-13 10:33:24, user Max Sargeson wrote:

      This is a useful study in terms of demonstrating the risks but tells us little about the causal etiology of post-vaccinal myocarditis.

      Until recently I'd assumed it was coagulopathy related i.e. due to tiny clots or fibrin deposits in the myocardium. Others have suggested that these intramuscular mRNA injections result in the lipid nanoparticles used for delivery being pinocytosed by skeletal muscle cells - which would only be infected in the case of the most advanced and unmanaged Covid cases, with significant viremia - and subsequently the unusual presentation of the spike protein antigens on muscle cells (rather than epithelial pneumocytes) thus promoting T-cell meditated autoimmunity against cardiac muscle.

      Are the markedly elevated troponin levels of affected boys compared to girls in the 12-15 age bracket (5.2 vs 0.8 ng/ml median) after the first dose evidence for one scenario over the other? I would appreciate if someone knowledgeable in immunology could offer comment, in the unlikely case that they see this.

    1. On 2021-10-01 21:43:06, user Frank Jones wrote:

      This study is deeply flawed as it relies on PCR. The PCR tests do not perform melting curve analysis to identify false positives due to primer dimers or other unspecific products. This is especially a problem if the target template concentration is low or if over 30 cycles are performed. I did thousands of quantitative PCRs and yet have to come across a primer pair that does never produce unspecific signal at high cycle numbers. This process is stochastic due to the nature of primer annealing, so a sample can be false positive or negative when running it multiple times under identical conditions which explains why some patients test positive and the next day they are negative. Also, there is no appropriate control to identify false positives. The no-template negative control is not sufficient since it obviously cannot prove the primers or probes do not amplify off target templates. Only the sample of a confirmed Covid negative person would be acceptable, yet this is not done.

    1. On 2020-06-11 18:36:28, user Ruth Kriz wrote:

      This is consistent with my findings in other chronic infections that about 55% have PAI-1 or Leiden Factor V mutations that prevent them from up regulating their Thrombin/anti-thrombin complexes or elevated Lipoprotein (a) that binds with tPA when inflammation triggers the clotting pathway.

    1. On 2021-12-16 17:59:27, user rick wrote:

      No discussion of side effects of non pharmocological interventions. It's like recommending coronary bypass without discussion of morbidity and mortality from the procedure.

    1. On 2020-06-17 11:54:35, user Dr. D. Miyazawa MD wrote:

      Possible reason for why in multivariable analysis with BMI >=30, diabetes, hypertension, was outside the limits of standard statistical significance in Black patients.<br /> Obesity correlates with hypertension, diabetes, and is more prevalent in Black people.<br /> https://doi.org/10.22541/au...

    1. On 2020-06-01 17:03:22, user David Curtis wrote:

      Thank you for this. I have the following comments.

      The report should give a fuller account of the studies of the exome-sequenced Swedish schizophrenia case-control cohort (Curtis et al., 2018; Genovese et al., 2016). There should be an explicit comparison with these to see which findings of the earlier studies are strengthened and which are weakened. Our study showed that the signal was not confined to singleton variants but that rare, damaging non-singleton variants were also enriched in cases. It showed that variants impacting the function of the NMDA receptor were associated with increased schizophrenia risk and this hypothesis should be explicitly tested.

      This sentence is confusing because it appears that standard errors or confidence intervals are being presented: “However, cases had significantly more novel exome-wide variants, exclusively limited to singletons (17.76±6.24 vs 15.44±6.42, p=6.13x10^-10; Table 1)”. When presented this way, it appears that the distributions largely overlap and it is not obvious why there is a significant difference between them.

      It would be better to write something like: “However, cases had significantly more novel exome-wide variants, exclusively limited to singletons (mean (SD): 17.76 (6.24) vs 15.44 (6.42), 95% CI for mean difference [1.59, 3.05], p=6.13x10^-10; Table 1).” Or the standard deviations could just be omitted and left in Table 1.

      I do not understand why the supplementary material does not provide a list of case-only and control-only genes, along with their subject counts.

      “The foregoing analyses examined singleton URVs only, which have been the primary focus of exome studies in schizophrenia to date.” This is not correct. Our exome study of schizophrenia focused on non-singleton damaging rare variants.

      I have a problem with focusing on singleton variants in a population with strong founder effects. Surely, the whole point is that some variants will be present at increased frequency? (While others will be absent.) So why focus on singletons, which by definition cannot be at increased frequency? Here is a key sentence from the introduction: “Importantly, a recent large-scale (n>5,000) sequencing study of AJ individuals demonstrated that this enrichment is widespread across the exome, with approximately one-third of all protein-coding alleles demonstrating frequencies in AJ that were an order of magnitude greater than the maximum frequency in any well-characterized outbred population.” The value of a population with strong founder effects is that some variants will be present at unusually high frequency. Concentrating only on singleton variants discards this advantage. It is not obvious to me that pathogenic singleton variants should be any commoner in AJ cases than in cases drawn from other populations. It would be helpful to address this issue more explicitly.

      Curtis, D., Coelewij, L., Liu, S.-H., Humphrey, J., Mott, R. (2018) Weighted Burden Analysis of Exome-Sequenced Case-Control Sample Implicates Synaptic Genes in Schizophrenia Aetiology. Behav. Genet. 43, 198–208.<br /> Genovese, G., Fromer, M., Stahl, E.A., Ruderfer, D.M., Chambert, K., Landén, M., Moran, J.L., Purcell, S.M., Sklar, P., Sullivan, P.F., Hultman, C.M., McCarroll, S.A. (2016) Increased burden of ultra-rare protein-altering variants among 4,877 individuals with schizophrenia. Nat. Neurosci. 19, 1433–1441.

    1. On 2020-06-24 12:15:40, user Ayse Balat wrote:

      I would like to congratulate the authors introducing such a beneficial model for the diagnosis of erosive-vesiculobullous diseases. I am sure it would be one of the great methods for clinicians. Professor Ayse Balat

    1. On 2020-05-18 10:41:55, user Tony Gordon wrote:

      There is a very similar BME excess of schizophrenia (due to greater noise exposure triggering auditory hallucinations?). Hence similar social correlates?

      I suspect the BME excess may be due to inability or disinclination to social distancing (not mentioned in article?). I walk regularly between D Hill station and KCH and very few of the people there make any effort to keep two metres apart. Very many are BME, though of course I don't know if this is significant.

      I am a healthy 77y old. I still have no idea of what my COVID risk is?

    1. On 2020-04-24 23:54:28, user Gunnar V Gunnarsson wrote:

      The conclution that HC causes higher risk of death is basically wrong due to a huge sampling bias. The problem lies in the fact that once people went on ventilators they where given HC or HC+AZ. This re-categorised the patients by increasing the number of high risk patients in the HC and HC+AZ groups making the No HC an invalid control group.

      Before ventilation the statistics was like this: (Table 4 in paper)

      HC: 90 - 9 (10.0%) deaths - 69 (76.6%) recover - 12 (13.3%) onto ventilation HC+AZ: 101 - 11 (10.9%) deaths - 83 (82.2%) recover - 7 (06.9%) onto ventilation No HC: 177 - 15 ( 8.4%) deaths - 137 (77.4%) recover - 25 (14.1%) onto ventilation

      We see that death-rate is about the same for all groups but HC+AZ seams to have the highest recovery rate but it might not be statistically significant.

      Now once people hit ventilation the re-categorisation occurs. More patients where given HC and HC+AZ which moved them from the No HC group to the HC or HC+AZ group. These groups therefore have a much higher % of ventilation patients because they where given the drugs after they hit ventilation.

      The following data can be derived from the paper but is not presented:<br /> Once people hit ventilation we have the following results.

      HC: 19 - 18 (95%) deaths - 1 (11%) recover HC+AZ: 19 - 14 (73%) deaths - 5 (27%) recover No HC: 6 - 3 (50%) deaths - 3 (50%) recover

      If you compare these 2 tables, you see that 25 patient with No HC reach ventilation. Once they reach ventilation, 19 of these where give HC or HC+AZ, thereby moved from the No HC group to the other two. 79.5% of all patients reaching ventilation died so arguably 14 patients that died where moved from the No HC group to the other 2 groups only once they reach the much higher risk state.

      Here are the number of people per group that got ventilation:

      HC: 97 - 19 (19.6%) got ventilation HC+AZ: 113 - 19 (16.8%) got ventilation No HC: 158 - 6 ( 3.4%) got ventilation

      So the conclusion that HC causes more death is basically wrong. All it shows is that people that need ventilation are more likely to die.

    1. On 2020-03-22 14:14:29, user Rachelle Omenson wrote:

      I'm interested to know how this mirrors the actual population in China at the time of testing? If the percentages of blood types getting the virus or not mirrors the abundance in the population this is bad data.

    1. On 2021-06-18 19:40:48, user Ivan Sudofsky wrote:

      Would it be ethical to quote directly from the study?<br /> "There were no notable differences in symptom duration or severity between the treatment groups over the 28 days."

      It may clear virus from the limited compartment of the nasal mucosa, but fail to be effective at the lungs or the circulatory epithelia, where the most severe symptoms arise.

      ???

    1. On 2021-10-03 07:16:11, user kdrl nakle wrote:

      Sort of expected stuff, nothing surprising. Delta variant comes way ahead which is something we already know. So the real increase of airborne transmissions is a feature of Delta.

    1. On 2020-04-24 07:15:48, user Rajendra Kings Rayudoo wrote:

      TO <br /> Yoann Madec,Rebecca Grant,

      I have gone through your paper above <br /> i had a doubt that<br /> 1) the antibodies that are transferred from one person to another ,can have long-term effect on the fighting with the antigen.and

      2) do the donor can increase the anti-sars antibodies continuously after donation.

      thanking u <br /> with regards <br /> rajendra

    1. On 2023-07-10 13:53:43, user Carlos Menck wrote:

      This work was published in Carcinogenesis and the correct citation is: <br /> Corradi C, Vilar JB, Buzatto VC, de Souza TA, Castro LP, Munford V, De Vecchi R, Galante PAF, Orpinelli F, Miller TLA, Buzzo JL, Sotto MN, Saldiva P, de Oliveira JW, Chaibub SCW, SarasinA, Menck CFM. Mutational signatures and increased retrotransposon <br /> insertions in xeroderma pigmentosum variant skin tumors. Carcinogenesis. 2023 May 17:bgad030. doi: 10.1093/carcin/bgad030. Epub ahead of print. <br /> PMID: 37195263.

      Corradi C, Vilar JB, Buzatto VC, de Souza TA, Castro LP, Munford V, De Vecchi R, Galante PAF, Orpinelli F, Miller TLA, Buzzo JL, Sotto MN, Saldiva P, de Oliveira JW, Chaibub SCW, Sarasin A, Menck CFM. Mutational signatures and increased retrotransposon

      insertions in xeroderma pigmentosum variant skin tumors. Carcinogenesis. 2023 May 17:bgad030. doi: 10.1093/carcin/bgad030. Epub ahead of print.

      PMID: 37195263.

    1. On 2020-09-28 06:11:14, user Johann Holzmann wrote:

      The study certainly provides an interesting perspective on the dynamics of SARS CoV2 transmission in a heavy dense population and on the infection fatality rate. However, it will be crucial to reproduce the findings in a different chohort using a different test to ensure representativeness. <br /> Takita et al, July 2020 provided seroprevalence data in 2 primary care clinics in Tokyo for which the most common cause for patients visits are respiratory infections. They found an appr 5% seroprevalence in their cohort during the outbreak in March/April and concluded that the number of cases corresponded to the cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 patients by PCR test reported by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government. <br /> PCR testing capacity in Tokyo was significantly increased to 4000-5000 tests per day resulting in about 300 cases per day on average (~7% positive rate on average). It would be highly interesting to read a discussion on how the determined seroprevalence rate of 46.8% agrees with the number of PCR positive cases in the Tokyo metropolitan area.

    1. On 2021-06-11 09:20:26, user WayneGao TMU wrote:

      Taiwanese government may soon authorize EUA to a protein subunit vaccine by Medigenvac which just de-blind their phase 2 clinical trial results (about 3800 participants) on June 10, 2021. The results shows credible safety and good immunity response( for instance, GMT 662, compared to AZ's 370). Like many other countries, Taiwan has struggled with securing enough vaccines. My question, if the vaccine receive its EUA, is Taiwan going to be the first country to issue an EUA based post-immunization antibody titers as the basis for establishing a correlate of protection for COVID-19 vaccine? Thanks, Wayne

    1. On 2020-04-21 07:32:38, user disqus_WCLRBohCOX wrote:

      It would have been helpful to have Figures 1, 4, and 5 on a log-scale -- especially the visual comparison with actual data in Figure 4 would be much more meaningful.

    1. On 2020-02-16 19:32:51, user Igor Nesteruk wrote:

      Dear friends,

      Number of coronavirus victims in mainland China is<br /> expected to be much higher than predicted on February 10, 2020, since 12289 new<br /> cases (not previously included in official counts) have been added two days<br /> later. See details in my preprint:

      https://www.researchgate.ne...

      Best,

      February 15, 2020

      Igor

    1. On 2023-05-18 18:59:30, user Dave Fuller wrote:

      Please add peer-reviewed citation as:

      Wahid KA, Lin D, Sahin O, Cislo M, Nelms BE, He R, Naser MA, Duke S, Sherer MV, Christodouleas JP, Mohamed ASR, Murphy JD, Fuller CD, Gillespie EF. Large scale crowdsourced radiotherapy segmentations across a variety of cancer anatomic sites. Sci Data. 2023 Mar 22;10(1):161. doi: 10.1038/s41597-023-02062-w. PMID: 36949088; PMCID: PMC10033824.

      Thanks!

    1. On 2021-10-08 13:47:58, user Mazda Sabouri wrote:

      The IFR formula on page 9 appears to assume that the number of excess deaths and Covid deaths are equal. Certainly possible in certain regions, but also not a proper assumption to make universally.

      Also there does come a point where IFR exceeds PFR in a given region. Especially for a highly contagious virus that aggressive targets large numbers of vulnerable people each and every year. This study admits that certain regions in Iran have had 200%+ attack rates already.

    1. On 2021-02-23 23:14:07, user phil wrote:

      Fig 1I - the plot is piecewise linear. Shouldn't it be a step function? The key dates mark the point where presumably R_t^eff changes, which should then be constant until the next key date?

    1. On 2020-09-29 04:18:22, user Melvin Joe wrote:

      Its good sign ! ! By wearing the masks we could flatten the curve of affected persons. I am strictly using HY Supplies Inc masks to reduce the infection !!

    1. On 2021-01-24 11:43:28, user Zdenko Ontek wrote:

      I have to express myself as a citizen of the Slovak Republic. Several points in the research conditions do not agree with reality. Test subjects did not sign informed consent or instruction. It is also untrue to claim that testing was voluntary. The Government of the Slovak Republic created direct and indirect pressure, for example, through employers, who conditioned the entry of their employees into the workplace by passing testing. I note that the translation is machine, so I apologize for the English. Affected citizen of the Slovak Republic.

    1. On 2020-03-18 21:57:53, user NymRod wrote:

      "Estimating the cure rate and case fatality rate of the ongoing epidemic COVID-19 "it is inferred that the cure rate of this epidemic is about 93% and the case fatality rate is about 7%."

      Totally false. The ONLY accurate method to calculate the cure rate and the fatality rate of an ongoing pandemic is to use the number of closed cases, anything else is irrelevant.

      Currently as of 3-18-2020 at 5pm CT in the US there are 256 closed cases, 106 recoveries and 150 deaths. That calculates to a 41% recovery rate and a 59% fatality rate.<br /> https://www.worldometers.in...

    1. On 2021-01-31 20:05:06, user Gareth Hill wrote:

      What happens if you assume that the vaccines gave a very high efficacy 99%+, against death and hospitalization , as found in the trials

    1. On 2021-02-04 14:21:22, user Peter Ray wrote:

      The suggested reason for the increased case rates for the first 10 days or so after injection is a possible change in behaviours to being less cautious.

      Another possible reason is the dramatic increase in Covid prevalence occurring in Israel generally at the start of the vaccination program (late December). Given that the positive case data is available in public it might be worthwhile including a comparison of general population case rate on the daily incidence chart.

    1. On 2025-11-24 13:20:05, user SkepticalScientist wrote:

      Nice paper. I would be interested in knowing whether the pattern of results implied anything for recovery or had any other cognitive consequences. Also, it was unclear to me whether you corrected for TIV in the volumetric analyses - especially important given you didn’t correct for sex.

    1. On 2020-09-11 05:09:05, user Ramesh Sharma wrote:

      Biomed now uses the Multiplexing QM system instead of QS which is a vast improvement to test quality and testing speed.

    1. On 2021-01-28 19:01:30, user lbaustin wrote:

      This leaves out two simple blood tests that are more predictive than any of the parameters on the list: initial blood sugar of >140 and 25(OH)D of less than 20ng/ml. Please add these to the model prior to publication.

    1. On 2020-04-30 14:43:28, user Alan Beard wrote:

      Repeating a question from a few minutes ago. Can you clarify whether the Smoking Status included in the data comes from <br /> 1) A current Smoking status only .......OR <br /> 2 Current and Former Smokers(irrespective of when smoking ceased)<br /> This is an important question that really should be answered

    1. On 2024-04-25 03:20:17, user Lena Palaniyappan wrote:

      Very interesting work. We observed a similar 'amelioration' effect using a cross-sectional design a few years ago (Guo et al., 2016). Since then we made several cross-sectional and a few longitudinal observations supporting the possibility of compensation and reorganisation after first episode psychosis (Palaniyappan et al., 2019a; 2019b), including one with the largest untreated sample we could access at that time (Li et al., 2022). These observations compel us to spare more efforts to understand the compensatory processes in psychosis (Palaniyappan et al, 2017, Palaniyappan & Sukumar 2020, Palaniyappan, 2021; 2023).

      Guo S, Palaniyappan L, Liddle PF, Feng J. Dynamic cerebral reorganization in the pathophysiology of schizophrenia: a MRI-derived cortical thickness study. Psychological medicine. 2016 Jul;46(10):2201-14.

      Li M, Deng W, Li Y, Zhao L, Ma X, Yu H, Li X, Meng Y, Wang Q, Du X, Sham PC. Ameliorative patterns of grey matter in patients with first-episode and treatment-naïve schizophrenia. Psychological Medicine. 2023 Jun;53(8):3500-10.

      Palaniyappan L. Progressive cortical reorganisation: a framework for investigating structural changes in schizophrenia. Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews. 2017 Aug 1;79:1-3.

      Palaniyappan L, Das TK, Winmill L, Hough M, James A, Palaniyappan L. Progressive post-onset reorganisation of MRI-derived cortical thickness in adolescents with schizophrenia. Schizophr Res. 2019a Jun 1;208:477-8.

      Palaniyappan L, Hodgson O, Balain V, Iwabuchi S, Gowland P, Liddle P. Structural covariance and cortical reorganisation in schizophrenia: a MRI-based morphometric study. Psychological Medicine. 2019b Feb;49(3):412-20.

      Palaniyappan L, Sukumar N. Reconsidering brain tissue changes as a mechanistic focus for early intervention in psychiatry. Journal of psychiatry & neuroscience: JPN. 2020 Nov;45(6):373.

      Palaniyappan L. The neuroscience of early intervention: Moving beyond our appeals to fear. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry. 2021;55(10):942-943.

    1. On 2021-08-02 18:48:48, user Sam Stampfer wrote:

      Interesting & alarming paper.

      I emailed the authors regarding this, but thought I'd also put this as a comment:<br /> Figure 3: comparative neutralization responses between variants & wild-type. The serum was drawn at a median of 6 days post breakthrough infection. This isn't enough time for new delta-variant-specific antibodies to form and thus probably reflects the anamnestic memory-b-cell response from original vaccination. I was wondering whether the authors have followed up and evaluated more convalescent sera >2 weeks post-symptoms to see whether it is better able to neutralize delta. It is especially telling to me that the delta neutralization was even worse appearing than the beta neutralization, which would be unexpected unless there was no delta-variant-specific response.